Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Brooksby vs Legout 2:0: result and our tips

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Jenson BrooksbyATP #99Elo 1886hard 1864
2:0final6:2 6:4
Timo LegoutATP #351Elo 1800hard 1784

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoWon71%

Where the number comes from: market alone 68% → with the players' profiles 71%

No tie-break in recent matches: Brooksby 16 of 20, Legout 17 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won67%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Brooksby 16 of 20, Legout 15 of 20 (tour average 66%)

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Won60%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 60%

    Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Brooksby 13 of 20, Legout 14 of 20 (tour average 58%)

Long shot
1st Set Winner: LegoutLost32%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Brooksby lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Legout won the first set in 17 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jenson Brooksby74%
Timo Legout26%

Elo: J. Brooksby 61% · T. Legout 39%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Brooksby52%
2:1 J. Brooksby22%
2:1 T. Legout11%
2:0 T. Legout15%

First set

Jenson Brooksby68%
Timo Legout32%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%71%
19.561%39%62%
20.553%47%54%
21.547%53%49%
22.541%60%42%
23.536%64%37%
24.534%67%35%

Sample: 3,998 matches

Games handicap

Jenson Brooksby −3.556%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jenson BrooksbyTimo Legout
4Aces0
2Double faults3
62%First serves in75%
71%First-serve points won50%
40%Second-serve points won40%
5/8Break points converted2/5
7/9Service games held4/9
59%Service points won48%
53%Return points won41%
70Total points won55

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. BrooksbyTourT. Legout
Service points won62%62%62%
Return points won36%38%44%
Service games held75%76%76%
Breaks of serve20%24%38%
Aces per service game0.280.13
Double faults per game0.130.25
Sets with a tie-break9%6%
Tie-breaks won3/91/3
Wins in straight sets81%88%
Matches in the sample4223

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jenson Brooksby

Timo Legout

Elo over the last year

Jenson BrooksbyTimo Legout

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. BrooksbyT. Legout
Hard court12–1643%17–674%
Clay0–60%0–0
Grass4–450%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Jenson Brooksby

Timo Legout