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Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Brooksby vs Maloney 2:0: result and our tips

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Jenson BrooksbyATP #94Elo 1898hard 1877
2:0final6:4 6:2
Patrick MaloneyATP #774Elo 1644hard 1618

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost60%

Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 60%

Maloney: 12 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 20.5Lost43%

Where the number comes from: market alone 41% → with the players' profiles 43%

Maloney: 11 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jenson Brooksby89%
Patrick Maloney11%

Elo: J. Brooksby 82% · P. Maloney 18%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Brooksby70%
2:1 J. Brooksby18%
2:1 P. Maloney6%
2:0 P. Maloney7%

First set

Jenson Brooksby81%
Patrick Maloney19%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes24%
no76%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.581%19%88%
17.571%30%80%
18.561%39%71%
19.551%49%63%
20.543%57%54%
21.537%63%49%
22.531%69%42%

Sample: 1,682 matches

Games handicap

J. Brooksby −5.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 19.5out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jenson BrooksbyPatrick Maloney
7Aces2
1Double faults2
65%First serves in57%
88%First-serve points won63%
56%Second-serve points won46%
3/5Break points converted0/2
9/9Service games held6/9
77%Service points won55%
45%Return points won24%
64Total points won43

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. BrooksbyTourP. Maloney
Service points won62%62%63%
Return points won37%38%37%
Service games held75%76%81%
Breaks of serve21%24%22%
Aces per service game0.280.45
Double faults per game0.130.27
Sets with a tie-break8%23%
Tie-breaks won2/84/7
Wins in straight sets82%71%
Matches in the sample4213

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jenson Brooksby

Patrick Maloney

Elo over the last year

Jenson BrooksbyPatrick Maloney

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. BrooksbyP. Maloney
Hard court13–1546%5–550%
Clay0–60%0–0
Grass4–450%2–167%

Head to head

J. Brooksby 1–1 P. Maloney

  • 15/04/25Winner: P. Maloney4:6 3:6
  • 30/03/25Winner: J. Brooksby6:4 6:2

Road through the tournament

Jenson Brooksby

Patrick Maloney