Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Maloney vs Miyoshi 2:1: result and our tips

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Patrick MaloneyATP #910Elo 1618hard 1590
2:1final6:0 6:7(3) 7:6(5)
Kenta (2004) MiyoshiATP #441Elo 1652hard 1650

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Maloney: 10 matches in a row over 20.5 games; Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Maloney 10 of 12, Miyoshi 12 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Patrick Maloney40%
Kenta (2004) Miyoshi60%

Elo: P. Maloney 41% · K. Miyoshi 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Maloney24%
2:1 P. Maloney16%
2:1 K. Miyoshi21%
2:0 K. Miyoshi39%

First set

Patrick Maloney43%
Kenta (2004) Miyoshi57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.548%52%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,892 matches

Games handicap

Kenta (2004) Miyoshi −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 22.0in · 32 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Patrick MaloneyKenta (2004) Miyoshi
8Aces7
2Double faults3
72%First serves in66%
64%First-serve points won62%
58%Second-serve points won44%
6/15Break points converted3/8
12/15Service games held9/15
63%Service points won56%
44%Return points won38%
121Total points won107

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. MaloneyTourK. Miyoshi
Service points won63%62%64%
Return points won37%38%42%
Service games held81%76%77%
Breaks of serve20%24%30%
Aces per service game0.440.53
Double faults per game0.280.19
Sets with a tie-break18%16%
Tie-breaks won3/58/12
Wins in straight sets83%76%
Matches in the sample1232

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Patrick Maloney

  • 19/10/26WLuciano Emanuel Ambrogi#332Challenger Fort Worth · R326:3 7:5
  • 29/09/26LDarwin Blanch#159Challenger Columbus · R324:6 5:7
  • 23/09/26LIgor Marcondes#266Challenger San Diego 2 · R166:3 6:7 2:6
  • 21/09/26WBraden Shick#208Challenger San Diego 2 · R326:3 7:6
  • 16/09/26LMichael Mmoh#147Challenger Tiburon · R165:7 3:6
  • 14/09/26WAlastair Gray#283Challenger Tiburon · R326:3 5:7 7:6
  • 20/07/26LEvan Zhu#462Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Q26:4 3:6 2:6
  • 19/07/26WHiroki Moriya#480Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Q16:3 7:6
  • 12/07/26LYibing Wu#106Challenger Lincoln · Q16:7 3:6
  • 08/07/26LGarrett Johns#458Challenger Newport · R326:3 3:6 4:6

Kenta (2004) Miyoshi

Elo over the last year

Patrick MaloneyKenta (2004) Miyoshi

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. MaloneyK. Miyoshi
Hard court4–544%21–1166%
Grass2–167%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Patrick Maloney

Kenta (2004) Miyoshi

See also