Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Miyoshi vs Cassone 2:0: result and our tips

·

Kenta (2004) MiyoshiATP #441Elo 1618hard 1617
2:0final6:4 7:6(0)
Murphy CassoneATP #268Elo 1761hard 1755

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Miyoshi 12 of 20, Cassone 13 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Miyoshi 8 of 20, Cassone 10 of 20 (tour average 35%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kenta (2004) Miyoshi42%
Murphy Cassone58%

Elo: K. Miyoshi 31% · M. Cassone 69%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Miyoshi25%
2:1 K. Miyoshi17%
2:1 M. Cassone21%
2:0 M. Cassone37%

First set

Kenta (2004) Miyoshi44%
Murphy Cassone56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.548%52%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%64%32%

Sample: 5,849 matches

Games handicap

Murphy Cassone −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes37%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.0in · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Kenta (2004) MiyoshiMurphy Cassone
5Aces2
1Double faults4
60%First serves in56%
73%First-serve points won68%
53%Second-serve points won47%
3/6Break points converted2/11
9/11Service games held8/11
65%Service points won58%
42%Return points won35%
82Total points won70

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. MiyoshiTourM. Cassone
Service points won64%62%64%
Return points won42%38%37%
Service games held77%76%81%
Breaks of serve30%24%23%
Aces per service game0.530.56
Double faults per game0.190.22
Sets with a tie-break15%20%
Tie-breaks won7/1113/25
Wins in straight sets75%67%
Matches in the sample3154

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kenta (2004) Miyoshi

Murphy Cassone

Elo over the last year

Kenta (2004) MiyoshiMurphy Cassone

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. MiyoshiM. Cassone
Hard court20–1165%29–2158%
Grass0–01–325%

Head to head

K. Miyoshi 0–1 M. Cassone

  • 15/11/25Winner: Murphy Cassone2:6 6:2 4:6

Road through the tournament

Kenta (2004) Miyoshi

Murphy Cassone

First match in this tournament.

See also