Heredia vs Boulais 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 61% → with the players' profiles 58%
Boulais: 4 matches in a row over 19.5 games
Other tips
- Match Winner: BoulaisWon77%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 77%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Heredia lost 7 of the last 10 matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: S. Heredia 33% · J. Boulais 67%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 74% | 26% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 65% | 35% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 56% | 44% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 48% | 53% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 42% | 59% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 36% | 65% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 31% | 69% | 37% |
Sample: 2,894 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 20.5in · 14 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Samuel Heredia | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 5 |
| 2 | Double faults | 3 |
| 66% | First serves in | 56% |
| 49% | First-serve points won | 100% |
| 35% | Second-serve points won | 60% |
| 0/0 | Break points converted | 5/6 |
| 2/7 | Service games held | 7/7 |
| 44% | Service points won | 82% |
| 18% | Return points won | 56% |
| 28 | Total points won | 56 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Heredia | Tour | J. Boulais | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 72% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.41 | 0.37 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.46 | 0.29 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/7 | 6/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 70% | |
| Matches in the sample | 32 | 43 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Samuel Heredia
- 01/11/26WJeffrey von der Schulenburg#959Challenger Charlottesville · Q14:4
- 20/10/26LMatias Soto#260Challenger Cali · R326:7 6:4 2:6
- 11/10/26LFederico ZeballosChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q14:6 6:3 3:6
- 06/10/26LEduardo Ribeiro#360Challenger Antofagasta · R323:6 4:6
- 30/09/26LJoao Eduardo Schiessl#551Challenger Curitiba · R324:6 5:7
- 28/09/26WJuan Sebastian Osorio#627Challenger Curitiba · Q27:6 5:7 6:4
- 27/09/26WLeonardo Storck FrancaChallenger Curitiba · Q13:6 6:3 6:1
- 18/08/26LLaslo Djere#137Challenger Cancun · Q13:6 4:6
- 20/07/26LMassimo Giunta#368Challenger Segovia · Q21:6 4:6
- 19/07/26WJohn Echeverria#526Challenger Segovia · Q16:4 7:6
Justin Boulais
- 01/11/26WJoshua Sheehy#763Challenger Charlottesville · Q11:6 6:2 6:0
- 25/10/26LSebastian Dominko#456Challenger Sioux Falls · Q17:5 3:6 4:6
- 27/09/26LAlexandre Reco#811Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q14:6 4:6
- 22/09/26LHarold Mayot#220Challenger Saint Tropez · R324:6 6:2 6:7
- 21/09/26LMatteo Martineau#244Challenger Saint Tropez · Q23:6 1:6
- 20/09/26WMickael Kaouk#937Challenger Saint Tropez · Q15:7 6:3 6:2
- 14/09/26LMatisse Bobichon#487Challenger Rennes · Q26:7 3:6
- 13/09/26WTheo ArribageChallenger Rennes · Q17:6 6:2
- 07/09/26LMatisse Bobichon#487Challenger Cassis · Q26:3 6:7 3:6
- 06/09/26WMatis RocheChallenger Cassis · Q16:0 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Heredia | J. Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 3–443% | 23–2251% |
| Clay | 11–1444% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Samuel Heredia
- 01/11/26WJeffrey von der Schulenburg#959Challenger Charlottesville · Q14:4
Justin Boulais
- 01/11/26WJoshua Sheehy#763Challenger Charlottesville · Q11:6 6:2 6:0