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Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Boulais vs Wolf 2:0: result and our tips

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Justin BoulaisATP #439Elo 1541hard 1538
2:0final6:3 6:2
Jeffrey John WolfATP #204Elo 1774hard 1758

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: WolfLost74%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Boulais lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Wolf won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost30%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Boulais 8 of 20, Wolf 11 of 20 (tour average 35%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Justin Boulais19%
Jeffrey John Wolf81%

Elo: J. Boulais 22% · J. Wolf 78%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Boulais10%
2:1 J. Boulais9%
2:1 J. Wolf21%
2:0 J. Wolf60%

First set

Justin Boulais26%
Jeffrey John Wolf75%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%79%
18.567%33%71%
19.558%42%62%
20.549%51%54%
21.543%57%49%
22.537%63%42%
23.532%68%37%

Sample: 2,915 matches

Games handicap

J. Wolf −4.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Justin BoulaisJeffrey John Wolf
2Aces1
0Double faults4
68%First serves in54%
71%First-serve points won57%
63%Second-serve points won30%
5/11Break points converted2/4
7/9Service games held3/8
68%Service points won44%
56%Return points won32%
58Total points won35

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. BoulaisTourJ. Wolf
Service points won62%62%63%
Return points won40%38%39%
Service games held77%76%79%
Breaks of serve26%24%23%
Aces per service game0.380.49
Double faults per game0.300.25
Sets with a tie-break13%21%
Tie-breaks won6/146/15
Wins in straight sets71%59%
Matches in the sample4430

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Justin Boulais

  • 02/11/26WSamuel Heredia#634Challenger Charlottesville · Q26:2 6:0
  • 01/11/26WJoshua Sheehy#763Challenger Charlottesville · Q11:6 6:2 6:0
  • 25/10/26LSebastian Dominko#456Challenger Sioux Falls · Q17:5 3:6 4:6
  • 27/09/26LAlexandre Reco#811Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q14:6 4:6
  • 22/09/26LHarold Mayot#220Challenger Saint Tropez · R324:6 6:2 6:7
  • 21/09/26LMatteo Martineau#244Challenger Saint Tropez · Q23:6 1:6
  • 20/09/26WMickael Kaouk#937Challenger Saint Tropez · Q15:7 6:3 6:2
  • 14/09/26LMatisse Bobichon#487Challenger Rennes · Q26:7 3:6
  • 13/09/26WTheo ArribageChallenger Rennes · Q17:6 6:2
  • 07/09/26LMatisse Bobichon#487Challenger Cassis · Q26:3 6:7 3:6

Jeffrey John Wolf

Elo over the last year

Justin BoulaisJeffrey John Wolf

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. BoulaisJ. Wolf
Hard court24–2252%16–1062%
Clay0–01–325%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Justin Boulais

Jeffrey John Wolf

First match in this tournament.

See also