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ATP ParisMasters 1000Round of 64hard, indoorbest of three sets

Ruud vs Cerúndolo 2:0: result and our tips

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Casper RuudATP #23Elo 2088hard 2016
2:0final6:3 6:2
Juan Manuel CerúndoloATP #54Elo 1953hard 1885

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Casper Ruud71%
Juan Manuel Cerúndolo29%

Elo: C. Ruud 68% · J. Cerúndolo 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Ruud47%
2:1 C. Ruud23%
2:1 J. Cerúndolo13%
2:0 J. Cerúndolo17%

First set

Casper Ruud66%
Juan Manuel Cerúndolo34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 48%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.573%27%68%
20.565%35%60%
21.558%42%54%
22.551%49%46%
23.544%56%40%
24.539%61%38%
25.537%63%35%

Sample: 4,668 matches

Games handicap

C. Ruud −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes47%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Casper RuudJuan Manuel Cerúndolo
6Aces5
0Double faults5
67%First serves in75%
83%First-serve points won58%
80%Second-serve points won50%
3/5Break points converted0/0
9/9Service games held5/8
82%Service points won56%
44%Return points won18%
58Total points won35

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. RuudTourJ. Cerúndolo
Service points won66%62%64%
Return points won37%38%37%
Service games held85%76%80%
Breaks of serve22%24%22%
Aces per service game0.520.45
Double faults per game0.210.22
Sets with a tie-break17%20%
Tie-breaks won9/2017/34
Wins in straight sets64%58%
Matches in the sample4666

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Casper Ruud

Juan Manuel Cerúndolo

Elo over the last year

Casper RuudJuan Manuel Cerúndolo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. RuudJ. Cerúndolo
Hard court11–1150%15–1256%
Clay17–674%23–1364%
Grass0–10%2–250%

Head to head

C. Ruud 1–2 J. Cerúndolo

  • 05/08/26Winner: C. Ruud6:1 6:2
  • 17/07/26Winner: J. Cerúndolo6:3 5:7 2:6
  • 18/07/25Winner: J. Cerúndolo2:6 6:1 3:6

Road through the tournament

Casper Ruud

First match in this tournament.

Juan Manuel Cerúndolo

Upcoming matches

See also