ATP ParisMasters 1000Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Borges vs Buse: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 12h 25mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Nuno Borges57%
Ignacio Buse43%
Elo: N. Borges 57% · I. Buse 43%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 N. Borges35%
2:1 N. Borges21%
2:1 I. Buse20%
2:0 I. Buse25%
First set
Nuno Borges55%
Ignacio Buse45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%
The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 68% | 32% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 62% | 38% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 55% | 45% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 47% | 53% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 44% | 56% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 41% | 59% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 36% | 64% | 30% |
Sample: 5,919 matches
Games handicap
N. Borges −1.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes46%
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| N. Borges | Tour | I. Buse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 84% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.55 | 0.37 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.18 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/31 | 15/26 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 49% | |
| Matches in the sample | 62 | 62 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Nuno Borges
- 04/11/26WKaren Khachanov#25ATP Paris · R326:3 6:4
- 03/11/26WMoise Kouame#132ATP Paris · R646:3 6:1
- 01/11/26LAlex Molcan#78ATP Paris · Q26:7 2:6
- 31/10/26WAdrian Mannarino#59ATP Paris · Q14:6 6:1 7:5
- 30/10/26LJan-Lennard Struff#39ATP Basel · QF2:6 3:6
- 28/10/26WCasper Ruud#23ATP Basel · R161:6 6:3 6:4
- 26/10/26WMika Brunold#184ATP Basel · R326:3 6:1
- 10/10/26LJiří Lehečka#15ATP Shanghai · R643:6 6:3 3:6
- 08/10/26WFacundo Diaz Acosta#72ATP Shanghai · R1287:6 6:2
- 30/09/26LNovak Djokovic#11ATP Beijing · R323:6 6:7
Ignacio Buse
- 04/11/26WDaniil Medvedev#5ATP Paris · R326:4 6:4
- 02/11/26WZizou Bergs#40ATP Paris · R646:2 6:4
- 27/10/26LAdrian Mannarino#59ATP Vienna · R326:0 5:7 4:6
- 10/10/26LZizou Bergs#40ATP Shanghai · R640:6 3:6
- 01/10/26LQuentin Halys#46ATP Beijing · R321:6 6:7
- 03/09/26LBenjamin Bonzi#95ATP US Open · R642:6 6:7 0:6
- 02/09/26WMarcos Giron#89ATP US Open · R1283:6 6:3 6:3 6:7 6:1
- 29/08/26WArthur Fery#32ATP Winston Salem · F6:3 6:2
- 28/08/26WBenjamin Bonzi#95ATP Winston Salem · SF6:2 4:6 6:1
- 27/08/26WJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#54ATP Winston Salem · QF7:6 4:6 6:2
Elo over the last year
Nuno BorgesIgnacio Buse
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| N. Borges | I. Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 19–1654% | 11–858% |
| Clay | 9–950% | 23–1462% |
| Grass | 5–456% | 3–350% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Nuno Borges
- 31/10/26WAdrian Mannarino#59ATP Paris · Q14:6 6:1 7:5
- 01/11/26LAlex Molcan#78ATP Paris · Q26:7 2:6
- 03/11/26WMoise Kouame#132ATP Paris · R646:3 6:1
- 04/11/26WKaren Khachanov#25ATP Paris · R326:3 6:4
Ignacio Buse
- 02/11/26WZizou Bergs#40ATP Paris · R646:2 6:4
- 04/11/26WDaniil Medvedev#5ATP Paris · R326:4 6:4
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