Buse vs Medvedev: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Buse lost 0-2 in 8 of the last 20 matches, Medvedev won 2-0 in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 32%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: I. Buse 17% · D. Medvedev 83%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 77% | 23% | 83% |
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 75% |
| 19.5 | 57% | 43% | 67% |
| 20.5 | 48% | 52% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 42% | 58% | 53% |
| 22.5 | 34% | 67% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 29% | 71% | 39% |
Sample: 1,932 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| I. Buse | Tour | D. Medvedev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 84% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.37 | 0.73 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.32 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 15/26 | 10/28 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 69% | |
| Matches in the sample | 61 | 70 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ignacio Buse
- 02/11/26WZizou Bergs#40ATP Paris · R646:2 6:4
- 27/10/26LAdrian Mannarino#59ATP Vienna · R326:0 5:7 4:6
- 10/10/26LZizou Bergs#40ATP Shanghai · R640:6 3:6
- 01/10/26LQuentin Halys#46ATP Beijing · R321:6 6:7
- 03/09/26LBenjamin Bonzi#95ATP US Open · R642:6 6:7 0:6
- 02/09/26WMarcos Giron#89ATP US Open · R1283:6 6:3 6:3 6:7 6:1
- 29/08/26WArthur Fery#32ATP Winston Salem · F6:3 6:2
- 28/08/26WBenjamin Bonzi#95ATP Winston Salem · SF6:2 4:6 6:1
- 27/08/26WJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#54ATP Winston Salem · QF7:6 4:6 6:2
- 26/08/26WDaniel Altmaier#63ATP Winston Salem · R167:6 7:5
Daniil Medvedev
- 31/10/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP Vienna · SF4:6 6:7
- 30/10/26WAdrian Mannarino#59ATP Vienna · QF6:2 6:3
- 29/10/26WCameron Norrie#45ATP Vienna · R164:6 6:3 7:6
- 28/10/26WDaniel Merida#42ATP Vienna · R327:6 6:1
- 25/10/26WNikoloz Basilashvili#87ATP Almaty · F6:7 6:1 6:3
- 24/10/26WAlexander Bublik#26ATP Almaty · SF6:3
- 23/10/26WTerence Atmane#73ATP Almaty · QF6:4 6:4
- 22/10/26WSho Shimabukuro#118ATP Almaty · R166:2 6:1
- 17/10/26LRafael Jodar#10ATP Shanghai · SF3:6 4:6
- 16/10/26WTommy Paul#14ATP Shanghai · QF6:3 1:6 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| I. Buse | D. Medvedev | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 10–856% | 41–1179% |
| Clay | 23–1462% | 5–456% |
| Grass | 3–350% | 6–367% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Ignacio Buse
- 02/11/26WZizou Bergs#40ATP Paris · R646:2 6:4
Daniil Medvedev
First match in this tournament.