Mannarino vs Buse 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Mannarino 46% · I. Buse 54%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 73% | 27% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 65% | 35% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 59% | 41% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 51% | 49% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 44% | 56% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 5,804 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 22.5in · 28 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Adrian Mannarino | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 9 |
| 1 | Double faults | 1 |
| 53% | First serves in | 68% |
| 67% | First-serve points won | 66% |
| 45% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 4/6 | Break points converted | 5/10 |
| 9/14 | Service games held | 10/14 |
| 57% | Service points won | 61% |
| 39% | Return points won | 43% |
| 83 | Total points won | 89 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Mannarino | Tour | I. Buse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.41 | 0.36 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.18 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 14/26 | 15/26 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 46% | |
| Matches in the sample | 59 | 62 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Adrian Mannarino
- 25/10/26WAlex Molcan#80ATP Vienna · Q27:5 6:2
- 24/10/26WThiago Agustin Tirante#51ATP Vienna · Q16:4 7:6
- 23/10/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#95ATP Almaty · QF3:6 1:6
- 21/10/26WAndrey Rublev#22ATP Almaty · R166:4 3:6 6:3
- 19/10/26WAleksandar Vukic#116ATP Almaty · R327:6 4:6 6:3
- 11/10/26LKaren Khachanov#24ATP Shanghai · R322:6 4:6
- 09/10/26WFlavio Cobolli#6ATP Shanghai · R646:1 4:6 6:3
- 07/10/26WNikoloz Basilashvili#95ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 2:2
- 29/09/26LPablo Carreno Busta#74ATP Beijing · Q23:6 4:6
- 28/09/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#58ATP Beijing · Q17:6 3:6 7:6
Ignacio Buse
- 10/10/26LZizou Bergs#39ATP Shanghai · R640:6 3:6
- 01/10/26LQuentin Halys#45ATP Beijing · R321:6 6:7
- 03/09/26LBenjamin Bonzi#99ATP US Open · R642:6 6:7 0:6
- 02/09/26WMarcos Giron#88ATP US Open · R1283:6 6:3 6:3 6:7 6:1
- 29/08/26WArthur Fery#35ATP Winston Salem · F6:3 6:2
- 28/08/26WBenjamin Bonzi#99ATP Winston Salem · SF6:2 4:6 6:1
- 27/08/26WJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#54ATP Winston Salem · QF7:6 4:6 6:2
- 26/08/26WDaniel Altmaier#60ATP Winston Salem · R167:6 7:5
- 25/08/26WAdam Walton#98ATP Winston Salem · R326:2 5:7 6:3
- 16/08/26LAdam Walton#98ATP Cincinnati · R644:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Mannarino | I. Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 19–2148% | 9–756% |
| Clay | 0–80% | 25–1563% |
| Grass | 6–555% | 3–350% |
Head to head
A. Mannarino 0–1 I. Buse
- 22/04/26Winner: I. Buse4:6 2:6
Road through the tournament
Adrian Mannarino
- 24/10/26WThiago Agustin Tirante#51ATP Vienna · Q16:4 7:6
- 25/10/26WAlex Molcan#80ATP Vienna · Q27:5 6:2
Ignacio Buse
First match in this tournament.