Mannarino vs Molcan 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 57%
No tie-break in recent matches: Mannarino 12 of 20, Molcan 18 of 20 (tour average 61%); Molcan: 5 matches in a row without a tie-break
Other tips
- Total Games: Under 25.5Won61%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Molcan: 5 matches in a row under 25.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Mannarino 46% · A. Molcan 54%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 73% | 27% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 65% | 35% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 52% | 48% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 55% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 42% | 58% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
Sample: 5,843 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:0
- Total games Over 22.0out · 20 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Adrian Mannarino | Alex Molcan | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 4 |
| 1 | Double faults | 0 |
| 70% | First serves in | 65% |
| 71% | First-serve points won | 63% |
| 38% | Second-serve points won | 36% |
| 5/7 | Break points converted | 2/3 |
| 8/10 | Service games held | 5/10 |
| 61% | Service points won | 53% |
| 47% | Return points won | 39% |
| 72 | Total points won | 60 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Mannarino | Tour | A. Molcan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 18% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.40 | 0.34 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 14/26 | 7/13 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 46% | 59% | |
| Matches in the sample | 59 | 54 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Adrian Mannarino
- 24/10/26WThiago Agustin Tirante#51ATP Vienna · Q16:4 7:6
- 23/10/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#95ATP Almaty · QF3:6 1:6
- 21/10/26WAndrey Rublev#22ATP Almaty · R166:4 3:6 6:3
- 19/10/26WAleksandar Vukic#116ATP Almaty · R327:6 4:6 6:3
- 11/10/26LKaren Khachanov#24ATP Shanghai · R322:6 4:6
- 09/10/26WFlavio Cobolli#6ATP Shanghai · R646:1 4:6 6:3
- 07/10/26WNikoloz Basilashvili#95ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 2:2
- 29/09/26LPablo Carreno Busta#74ATP Beijing · Q23:6 4:6
- 28/09/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#58ATP Beijing · Q17:6 3:6 7:6
- 27/09/26LDenis Shapovalov#52ATP Chengdu · QF7:6 3:6 2:6
Alex Molcan
- 24/10/26WHamad Medjedovic#78ATP Vienna · Q16:2 6:4
- 07/10/26WFederico Cina#142ATP Shanghai · R1284:6 6:1 6:2
- 02/10/26LKaren Khachanov#24ATP Beijing · R165:7 3:6
- 01/10/26WTomáš Macháč#71ATP Beijing · R326:3 6:2
- 29/09/26WMarco Trungelliti#89ATP Beijing · Q26:4 7:5
- 28/09/26WVit Kopriva#64ATP Beijing · Q17:6 2:6 7:6
- 08/09/26LJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva#186Challenger Tulln · R321:6 4:6
- 01/09/26LBenjamin Bonzi#99ATP US Open · R1284:6 6:3 3:6 2:6
- 04/08/26LChun Hsin Tseng#216Challenger Hagen · R326:2 3:6 0:2
- 23/07/26LAlexander Bublik#20ATP Kitzbuhel · QF3:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Mannarino | A. Molcan | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 18–2245% | 8–850% |
| Clay | 0–80% | 23–1070% |
| Grass | 6–555% | 3–260% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Adrian Mannarino
- 24/10/26WThiago Agustin Tirante#51ATP Vienna · Q16:4 7:6
Alex Molcan
- 24/10/26WHamad Medjedovic#78ATP Vienna · Q16:2 6:4