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ATP Vienna500Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Molcan vs Medjedovic 2:0: result and our tips

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Alex MolcanATP #80Elo 1925hard 1853
2:0final6:2 6:4
Hamad MedjedovicATP #78Elo 1903hard 1815

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoWon55%

Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 55%

No tie-break in recent matches: Molcan 18 of 20, Medjedovic 11 of 20 (tour average 61%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alex Molcan38%
Hamad Medjedovic62%

Elo: A. Molcan 56% · H. Medjedovic 45%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Molcan22%
2:1 A. Molcan18%
2:1 H. Medjedovic22%
2:0 H. Medjedovic39%

First set

Alex Molcan42%
Hamad Medjedovic58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.574%26%68%
20.566%34%60%
21.560%40%54%
22.553%47%46%
23.545%55%40%
24.542%58%38%
25.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,828 matches

Games handicap

H. Medjedovic −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes45%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.5out · 18 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Alex MolcanHamad Medjedovic
13Aces8
0Double faults1
71%First serves in82%
90%First-serve points won60%
83%Second-serve points won40%
3/8Break points converted0/0
9/9Service games held6/9
88%Service points won56%
44%Return points won12%
60Total points won36

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. MolcanTourH. Medjedovic
Service points won63%62%65%
Return points won40%38%35%
Service games held78%76%81%
Breaks of serve27%24%20%
Aces per service game0.330.62
Double faults per game0.150.29
Sets with a tie-break10%22%
Tie-breaks won7/1313/22
Wins in straight sets58%62%
Matches in the sample5338

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alex Molcan

Hamad Medjedovic

Elo over the last year

Alex MolcanHamad Medjedovic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. MolcanH. Medjedovic
Hard court7–847%6–1135%
Clay23–1070%14–478%
Grass3–260%1–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.