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ATP Vienna500Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Tirante vs Mannarino 0:2: result and our tips

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Thiago Agustin TiranteATP #51Elo 1956hard 1881
0:2final4:6 6:7(5)
Adrian MannarinoATP #73Elo 1850hard 1828

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Thiago Agustin Tirante60%
Adrian Mannarino40%

Elo: T. Tirante 58% · A. Mannarino 43%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Tirante38%
2:1 T. Tirante21%
2:1 A. Mannarino18%
2:0 A. Mannarino23%

First set

Thiago Agustin Tirante57%
Adrian Mannarino43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 56%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.569%31%60%
21.562%38%54%
22.556%44%46%
23.548%52%40%
24.543%57%38%
25.541%59%35%
26.537%63%30%

Sample: 5,912 matches

Games handicap

T. Tirante −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes48%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.5in · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Thiago Agustin TiranteAdrian Mannarino
9Aces3
1Double faults3
60%First serves in68%
68%First-serve points won71%
47%Second-serve points won48%
3/6Break points converted4/6
7/11Service games held8/11
60%Service points won64%
36%Return points won41%
73Total points won78

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. TiranteTourA. Mannarino
Service points won66%62%63%
Return points won36%38%35%
Service games held82%76%75%
Breaks of serve19%24%18%
Aces per service game0.670.40
Double faults per game0.220.17
Sets with a tie-break16%18%
Tie-breaks won12/2213/25
Wins in straight sets56%44%
Matches in the sample5758

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Adrian Mannarino

Elo over the last year

Thiago Agustin TiranteAdrian Mannarino

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. TiranteA. Mannarino
Hard court16–1552%17–2244%
Clay15–865%0–80%
Grass1–233%6–555%

Head to head

T. Tirante 0–1 A. Mannarino

  • 30/08/26Winner: A. Mannarino6:4 6:3 3:6 3:6 3:6