ATP ParisMasters 1000Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Fils vs Fritz: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 11h 3mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Arthur Fils50%
Taylor Fritz50%
Elo: A. Fils 58% · T. Fritz 43%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Fils30%
2:1 A. Fils20%
2:1 T. Fritz20%
2:0 T. Fritz30%
First set
Arthur Fils50%
Taylor Fritz50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 23.5 · 53%market (no margin): 49%
The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 25.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 75% | 25% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 67% | 33% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 61% | 39% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 53% | 47% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 46% | 54% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 44% | 56% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 40% | 60% | 30% |
Sample: 5,324 matches
Games handicap
T. Fritz −0.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes56%
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Fils | Tour | T. Fritz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 68% | 62% | 71% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 86% | 76% | 89% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 16% |
| Aces per service game | 0.50 | 1.03 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.19 | 0.13 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 22% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 18/29 | 23/36 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 60% | |
| Matches in the sample | 56 | 61 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Arthur Fils
- 04/11/26WTomáš Macháč#69ATP Paris · R326:3 7:6
- 30/10/26LTaylor Fritz#12ATP Basel · QF2:6 0:2
- 29/10/26WAlex Michelsen#35ATP Basel · R164:6 6:3 7:6
- 27/10/26WGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard#145ATP Basel · R327:6 7:5
- 24/10/26LJan-Lennard Struff#39ATP Brussels · SF4:6 7:6 6:7
- 23/10/26WAlex Michelsen#35ATP Brussels · QF6:4 7:6
- 12/10/26LBotic Van de Zandschulp#37ATP Shanghai · R325:7 4:6
- 10/10/26WPavel Kotov#170ATP Shanghai · R646:3 6:4
- 04/10/26LValentin Vacherot#27ATP Tokyo · QF5:7 6:4 4:6
- 02/10/26WFrances Tiafoe#8ATP Tokyo · R166:3 7:5
Taylor Fritz
- 04/11/26WAlex Molcan#78ATP Paris · R326:7 7:5 7:6
- 03/11/26WBenjamin Bonzi#95ATP Paris · R643:6 6:3 6:4
- 31/10/26LValentin Vacherot#27ATP Basel · SF6:7 3:6
- 30/10/26WArthur Fils#7ATP Basel · QF6:2 2:0
- 29/10/26WDenis Shapovalov#51ATP Basel · R166:4 6:3
- 28/10/26WRinky Hijikata#83ATP Basel · R326:4 7:6
- 25/10/26LLorenzo Musetti#24ATP Lyon · F3:6 4:6
- 24/10/26WTommy Paul#14ATP Lyon · SF6:3 7:5
- 23/10/26WDaniel Altmaier#63ATP Lyon · QF7:6 6:2
- 22/10/26WPierre-Hugues Herbert#249ATP Lyon · R166:2 7:5
Elo over the last year
Arthur FilsTaylor Fritz
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Fils | T. Fritz | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 31–1272% | 31–1469% |
| Clay | 9–282% | 0–20% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 11–379% |
Head to head
A. Fils 1–1 T. Fritz
- 30/10/26Winner: T. Fritz2:6 0:2
- 26/09/24Winner: A. Fils6:4 3:6 6:3
Road through the tournament
Arthur Fils
- 04/11/26WTomáš Macháč#69ATP Paris · R326:3 7:6
Taylor Fritz
- 03/11/26WBenjamin Bonzi#95ATP Paris · R643:6 6:3 6:4
- 04/11/26WAlex Molcan#78ATP Paris · R326:7 7:5 7:6
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