ATP ParisMasters 1000Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying
Cerúndolo vs Kecmanovic 2:1: result and our tips
·
2:1final6:4 6:7(6) 7:6(6)
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Juan Manuel Cerúndolo55%
Miomir Kecmanovic45%
Elo: J. Cerúndolo 61% · M. Kecmanovic 39%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Cerúndolo34%
2:1 J. Cerúndolo21%
2:1 M. Kecmanovic20%
2:0 M. Kecmanovic26%
First set
Juan Manuel Cerúndolo54%
Miomir Kecmanovic46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%
The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 69% | 31% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 63% | 38% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 55% | 45% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 48% | 52% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 44% | 56% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 41% | 59% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 36% | 64% | 30% |
Sample: 5,635 matches
Games handicap
J. Cerúndolo −1.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes47%
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 23.5out · 36 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Juan Manuel Cerúndolo | Miomir Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Aces | 5 |
| 1 | Double faults | 1 |
| 70% | First serves in | 79% |
| 69% | First-serve points won | 65% |
| 60% | Second-serve points won | 46% |
| 5/9 | Break points converted | 4/8 |
| 13/17 | Service games held | 12/17 |
| 66% | Service points won | 61% |
| 39% | Return points won | 34% |
| 114 | Total points won | 108 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Cerúndolo | Tour | M. Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.44 | 0.38 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.18 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 16/32 | 13/25 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 56% | |
| Matches in the sample | 65 | 56 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Juan Manuel Cerúndolo
- 31/10/26WAleksandar Kovacevic#84ATP Paris · Q17:6 6:3
- 26/10/26LDaniel Altmaier#63ATP Basel · R327:6 6:7 4:6
- 25/10/26WDaniel Altmaier#63ATP Basel · Q27:6 6:3
- 24/10/26WZachary Svajda#75ATP Basel · Q16:4 6:3
- 20/10/26LMariano Navone#48ATP Brussels · R326:7 2:6
- 10/10/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP Shanghai · R643:6 3:6
- 08/10/26WNicolas Mejia#115ATP Shanghai · R1286:4 6:4
- 30/09/26LYunchaokete Bu#93ATP Beijing · R322:6 7:5 4:6
- 26/09/26LAlejandro Davidovich Fokina#17ATP Chengdu · R164:6 4:6
- 24/09/26WYi Zhou#281ATP Chengdu · R326:4 6:3
Miomir Kecmanovic
- 31/10/26WJames Duckworth#70ATP Paris · Q16:4 2:6 6:4
- 24/10/26LRinky Hijikata#83ATP Basel · Q16:7 3:6
- 19/10/26LJames Duckworth#70ATP Almaty · R324:6 3:6
- 13/10/26LAlexander Shevchenko#108Challenger Jinan · R323:6 4:6
- 09/10/26LJakub Menšík#16ATP Shanghai · R643:6 3:6
- 07/10/26WSho Shimabukuro#118ATP Shanghai · R1286:2 6:4
- 28/09/26LAdrian Mannarino#59ATP Beijing · Q16:7 6:3 6:7
- 24/09/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#87ATP Chengdu · R326:7 4:6
- 30/08/26LDenis Shapovalov#51ATP US Open · R1284:6 6:4 4:6 1:6
- 26/08/26LFabian Marozsan#61ATP Winston Salem · R323:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Juan Manuel CerúndoloMiomir Kecmanovic
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Cerúndolo | M. Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 14–1254% | 15–2142% |
| Clay | 23–1364% | 8–753% |
| Grass | 2–250% | 2–340% |
Head to head
J. Cerúndolo 1–0 M. Kecmanovic
- 16/07/26Winner: J. Cerúndolo3:6 6:3 7:5
Road through the tournament
Juan Manuel Cerúndolo
- 31/10/26WAleksandar Kovacevic#84ATP Paris · Q17:6 6:3
Miomir Kecmanovic
- 31/10/26WJames Duckworth#70ATP Paris · Q16:4 2:6 6:4
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