Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Kaśnikowski vs Antonius: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 14h 8mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Maks Kaśnikowski73%
Michael Antonius27%
Elo: M. Kaśnikowski 69% · M. Antonius 31%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Kaśnikowski50%
2:1 M. Kaśnikowski22%
2:1 M. Antonius12%
2:0 M. Antonius16%
First set
Maks Kaśnikowski67%
Michael Antonius33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%
Total games
Expected total: 22.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 28% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 64% | 36% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 56% | 44% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 50% | 50% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 57% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 35% |
Sample: 4,362 matches
Games handicap
M. Kaśnikowski −3.554%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes33%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Kaśnikowski | Tour | M. Antonius | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.36 | 0.17 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.12 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 26% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/22 | 2/5 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 33% | |
| Matches in the sample | 69 | 7 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Maks Kaśnikowski
- 04/11/26WLiam Draxl#168Challenger Charlottesville · R326:3 6:2
- 28/10/26LAidan Mayo#285Challenger Sioux Falls · R162:6 7:6 5:7
- 27/10/26WJames Kent Trotter#542Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:1 6:2
- 17/10/26LDamir Dzumhur#88Challenger Olbia · SF1:6 5:7
- 16/10/26WStefano Travaglia#159Challenger Olbia · QF6:2 7:5
- 14/10/26WAndrea Guerrieri#166Challenger Olbia · R166:3 6:4
- 12/10/26WCezar Cretu#269Challenger Olbia · R326:2 6:1
- 06/10/26LPhilip Henning#236Challenger Villena · R326:7 1:6
- 12/09/26LJay Friend#252Challenger Istanbul 3 · SF6:7 4:6
- 11/09/26WFrancesco Maestrelli#176Challenger Istanbul 3 · QF6:0 2:6 6:1
Michael Antonius
- 02/11/26WAbdullah Shelbayh#311Challenger Charlottesville · R326:4 4:6 6:4
- 19/10/26LAlbert Pedrico KravtsovChallenger Fort Worth · Q26:7 6:3 6:7
- 18/10/26WQuinn Vandecasteele#472Challenger Fort Worth · Q14:6 6:2 6:3
- 27/09/26LKeaton Hance#765Challenger Columbus · Q14:6 7:6 3:6
- 26/08/26LKei NishikoriATP US Open · Q24:6 4:6
- 25/08/26WHenry Searle#217ATP US Open · Q16:1 6:2
- 21/04/26LMitchell Krueger#361Challenger Savannah · R327:6 6:7 4:6
Elo over the last year
Maks KaśnikowskiMichael Antonius
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Kaśnikowski | M. Antonius | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 28–1762% | 3–350% |
| Clay | 13–1154% | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Maks Kaśnikowski
- 04/11/26WLiam Draxl#168Challenger Charlottesville · R326:3 6:2
Michael Antonius
- 02/11/26WAbdullah Shelbayh#311Challenger Charlottesville · R326:4 4:6 6:4
Upcoming matches
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- Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter, · Challenger Charlottesville
- Stefan Kozlov vs Braden Shick, · Challenger Charlottesville
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