Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying
Kozlov vs Shick: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 13h 25mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Stefan Kozlov52%
Braden Shick48%
Elo: S. Kozlov 45% · B. Shick 55%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 S. Kozlov33%
2:1 S. Kozlov20%
2:1 B. Shick19%
2:0 B. Shick29%
First set
Stefan Kozlov52%
Braden Shick48%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 23.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 28% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 64% | 36% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 51% | 49% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 45% | 55% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 5,402 matches
Games handicap
S. Kozlov −0.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes30%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Kozlov | Tour | B. Shick | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 42% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.24 | 0.39 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/15 | 9/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 48% | |
| Matches in the sample | 60 | 38 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Stefan Kozlov
- 04/11/26WMurphy Cassone#283Challenger Charlottesville · R166:2 6:2
- 03/11/26WAndres Martin#359Challenger Charlottesville · R326:4 6:0
- 29/10/26LMax Hans Rehberg#248Challenger Sioux Falls · R165:7 4:6
- 27/10/26WMurphy Cassone#283Challenger Sioux Falls · R324:6 6:3 3:0
- 01/10/26LMitchell Krueger#361Challenger Columbus · R162:6 6:3 3:6
- 29/09/26WJames Kent Trotter#542Challenger Columbus · R326:3 6:2
- 22/09/26LColton Smith#218Challenger San Diego 2 · R324:6 2:6
- 15/09/26LDarwin Blanch#139Challenger Tiburon · R323:6 6:2 6:7
- 13/08/26LHarry Wendelken#213Challenger Brownsburg · R166:2 4:6 1:6
- 12/08/26WAidan Mayo#285Challenger Brownsburg · R326:3 5:7 6:2
Braden Shick
- 04/11/26WDarwin Blanch#139Challenger Charlottesville · R167:5 6:3
- 02/11/26WColton Smith#218Challenger Charlottesville · R322:3
- 27/10/26LMax Hans Rehberg#248Challenger Sioux Falls · R323:6 3:6
- 20/10/26LGabriel Debru#556Challenger Fort Worth · R326:2 2:6 2:6
- 30/09/26LMees Rottgering#295Challenger Columbus · R161:6 4:6
- 28/09/26WOzan Baris#397Challenger Columbus · R327:6 0:6 6:3
- 21/09/26LPatrick Maloney#773Challenger San Diego 2 · R323:6 6:7
- 16/09/26LJeffrey John Wolf#204Challenger Tiburon · R164:6 7:6 4:6
- 15/09/26WErik Arutiunian#575Challenger Tiburon · R326:3 6:4
- 26/08/26LShintaro Mochizuki#125ATP US Open · Q24:6 1:6
Elo over the last year
Stefan KozlovBraden Shick
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Kozlov | B. Shick | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 23–2053% | 19–1458% |
| Clay | 7–654% | 2–250% |
| Grass | 3–175% | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Stefan Kozlov
- 03/11/26WAndres Martin#359Challenger Charlottesville · R326:4 6:0
- 04/11/26WMurphy Cassone#283Challenger Charlottesville · R166:2 6:2
Braden Shick
- 02/11/26WColton Smith#218Challenger Charlottesville · R322:3
- 04/11/26WDarwin Blanch#139Challenger Charlottesville · R167:5 6:3
Upcoming matches
- Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen, · Challenger Bratislava 2
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- Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter, · Challenger Charlottesville
- Maks Kaśnikowski vs Michael Antonius, · Challenger Charlottesville
- Aidan Mayo vs Alastair Gray, · Challenger Charlottesville