Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Rehberg vs Kozlov: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 1hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Max Hans Rehberg67%
Stefan Kozlov33%
Elo: M. Rehberg 65% · S. Kozlov 35%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Rehberg45%
2:1 M. Rehberg22%
2:1 S. Kozlov14%
2:0 S. Kozlov19%
First set
Max Hans Rehberg62%
Stefan Kozlov38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 28% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 64% | 36% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 52% | 49% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 45% | 55% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 61% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
Sample: 5,284 matches
Games handicap
M. Rehberg −3.548%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes32%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Rehberg | Tour | S. Kozlov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 31% |
| Aces per service game | 0.29 | 0.24 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.30 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/18 | 7/16 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 50 | 58 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Max Hans Rehberg
- 27/10/26WBraden Shick#205Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:3 6:3
- 19/10/26LMees Rottgering#316Challenger Fort Worth · R322:6 1:6
- 08/10/26LHynek Barton#275Challenger Villena · R161:6 7:6 6:7
- 07/10/26WEdas Butvilas#208Challenger Villena · R321:6 6:4 7:5
- 05/10/26WMili Poljicak#274Challenger Villena · Q25:7 6:3 6:3
- 04/10/26WDaniel CukiermanChallenger Villena · Q16:7 6:3 6:3
- 08/09/26LThiago Monteiro#230Challenger Tulln · R327:6 3:6 6:7
- 25/08/26LFacundo Mena#193Challenger Augsburg · R324:6 4:6
- 20/08/26LFilip Cristian Jianu#287Challenger Prague · QF3:6 4:6
- 19/08/26WKimmer Coppejans#221Challenger Prague · R166:4 6:1
Stefan Kozlov
- 27/10/26WMurphy Cassone#282Challenger Sioux Falls · R324:6 6:3 3:0
- 01/10/26LMitchell Krueger#351Challenger Columbus · R162:6 6:3 3:6
- 29/09/26WJames Kent Trotter#551Challenger Columbus · R326:3 6:2
- 22/09/26LColton Smith#218Challenger San Diego 2 · R324:6 2:6
- 15/09/26LDarwin Blanch#144Challenger Tiburon · R323:6 6:2 6:7
- 13/08/26LHarry Wendelken#212Challenger Brownsburg · R166:2 4:6 1:6
- 12/08/26WAidan Mayo#321Challenger Brownsburg · R326:3 5:7 6:2
- 25/07/26LZachary Svajda#76ATP Washington · Q15:7 1:6
- 21/07/26LAlan Magadan#501Challenger Bloomfield Hills · R326:3 1:6 6:7
- 20/07/26LRoger Pascual Ferra#690Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Q24:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Max Hans RehbergStefan Kozlov
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Rehberg | S. Kozlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–571% | 22–1954% |
| Clay | 17–1652% | 7–654% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 3–175% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Max Hans Rehberg
- 27/10/26WBraden Shick#205Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:3 6:3
Stefan Kozlov
- 27/10/26WMurphy Cassone#282Challenger Sioux Falls · R324:6 6:3 3:0