Kozlov vs Cassone 1:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 63%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Cassone won 8 of the last 10 matches; Kozlov lost 7 of the last 10 matches
Other tips
- Total Games: Over 20.558%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Kozlov 13 of 20, Cassone 13 of 20 (tour average 54%); Cassone: 4 matches in a row over 20.5 games
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
A third set in recent matches: Kozlov 11 of 20, Cassone 10 of 20 (tour average 34%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: S. Kozlov 32% · M. Cassone 69%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 75% | 25% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 34% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
Sample: 5,819 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Match stats
| Stefan Kozlov | Murphy Cassone | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 4 |
| 3 | Double faults | 4 |
| 64% | First serves in | 68% |
| 72% | First-serve points won | 63% |
| 55% | Second-serve points won | 39% |
| 5/8 | Break points converted | 3/4 |
| 8/11 | Service games held | 6/11 |
| 66% | Service points won | 55% |
| 45% | Return points won | 34% |
| 69 | Total points won | 58 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Kozlov | Tour | M. Cassone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 42% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.24 | 0.55 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/16 | 12/25 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 69% | |
| Matches in the sample | 57 | 53 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Stefan Kozlov
- 01/10/26LMitchell Krueger#351Challenger Columbus · R162:6 6:3 3:6
- 29/09/26WJames Kent Trotter#551Challenger Columbus · R326:3 6:2
- 22/09/26LColton Smith#218Challenger San Diego 2 · R324:6 2:6
- 15/09/26LDarwin Blanch#144Challenger Tiburon · R323:6 6:2 6:7
- 13/08/26LHarry Wendelken#212Challenger Brownsburg · R166:2 4:6 1:6
- 12/08/26WAidan Mayo#321Challenger Brownsburg · R326:3 5:7 6:2
- 25/07/26LZachary Svajda#76ATP Washington · Q15:7 1:6
- 21/07/26LAlan Magadan#501Challenger Bloomfield Hills · R326:3 1:6 6:7
- 20/07/26LRoger Pascual Ferra#690Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Q24:6 4:6
- 19/07/26WLeo Vithoontien#743Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Q14:6 6:1 6:2
Murphy Cassone
- 20/10/26LKenta (2004) Miyoshi#422Challenger Fort Worth · R324:6 6:7
- 26/09/26LHarold Mayot#233Challenger Saint Tropez · SF7:5 2:6 2:4
- 25/09/26WDaniel Masur#365Challenger Saint Tropez · QF6:7 7:6 6:4
- 24/09/26WBilly Harris#252Challenger Saint Tropez · R167:6 6:4
- 22/09/26WClement Tabur#161Challenger Saint Tropez · R327:6 4:6 6:3
- 21/09/26WPatrick Zahraj#523Challenger Saint Tropez · Q26:2 7:5
- 20/09/26WHugo CarChallenger Saint Tropez · Q16:4 6:0
- 14/09/26WInaki Montes-de la Torre#183Challenger Rennes · R326:3 7:6
- 29/07/26LHarry Wendelken#212Challenger Vancouver · R325:6
- 18/07/26LArthur Gea#44Challenger Granby · SF3:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Kozlov | M. Cassone | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 21–1953% | 28–2157% |
| Clay | 7–654% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 3–175% | 1–325% |
Head to head
S. Kozlov 1–0 M. Cassone
- 16/11/25Winner: S. Kozlov7:6 7:5