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Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Shick vs Rehberg 0:2: result and our tips

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Braden ShickATP #205Elo 1650hard 1638
0:2final3:6 3:6
Max Hans RehbergATP #264Elo 1682hard 1684

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Braden Shick41%
Max Hans Rehberg59%

Elo: B. Shick 44% · M. Rehberg 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 B. Shick24%
2:1 B. Shick17%
2:1 M. Rehberg21%
2:0 M. Rehberg38%

First set

Braden Shick43%
Max Hans Rehberg57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.560%41%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,974 matches

Games handicap

M. Rehberg −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Braden ShickMax Hans Rehberg
2Aces7
2Double faults1
59%First serves in66%
61%First-serve points won64%
39%Second-serve points won61%
1/5Break points converted4/6
5/9Service games held8/9
52%Service points won63%
37%Return points won48%
54Total points won70

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

B. ShickTourM. Rehberg
Service points won60%62%65%
Return points won39%38%39%
Service games held73%76%82%
Breaks of serve25%24%26%
Aces per service game0.400.28
Double faults per game0.260.18
Sets with a tie-break17%16%
Tie-breaks won9/147/18
Wins in straight sets47%75%
Matches in the sample3549

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Braden Shick

Max Hans Rehberg

Elo over the last year

Braden ShickMax Hans Rehberg

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

B. ShickM. Rehberg
Hard court17–1357%11–569%
Clay2–250%17–1652%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.