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Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Shelbayh vs Antonius 1:2: result and our tips

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Abdullah ShelbayhATP #311Elo 1719hard 1710
1:2final4:6 6:4 4:6
Michael AntoniusATP #619Elo 1499hard 1503

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Abdullah Shelbayh61%
Michael Antonius40%

Elo: A. Shelbayh 77% · M. Antonius 23%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Shelbayh39%
2:1 A. Shelbayh21%
2:1 M. Antonius16%
2:0 M. Antonius23%

First set

Abdullah Shelbayh58%
Michael Antonius42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%71%
19.565%35%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.541%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 6,024 matches

Games handicap

A. Shelbayh −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 30 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Abdullah ShelbayhMichael Antonius
5Aces1
0Double faults2
58%First serves in69%
68%First-serve points won79%
56%Second-serve points won46%
2/5Break points converted3/9
12/15Service games held13/15
63%Service points won69%
31%Return points won37%
84Total points won92

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. ShelbayhTourM. Antonius
Service points won60%62%61%
Return points won39%38%39%
Service games held73%76%76%
Breaks of serve26%24%26%
Aces per service game0.280.19
Double faults per game0.290.21
Sets with a tie-break14%31%
Tie-breaks won9/212/5
Wins in straight sets62%50%
Matches in the sample626

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Abdullah Shelbayh

Michael Antonius

  • 19/10/26LAlbert Pedrico KravtsovChallenger Fort Worth · Q26:7 6:3 6:7
  • 18/10/26WQuinn Vandecasteele#472Challenger Fort Worth · Q14:6 6:2 6:3
  • 27/09/26LKeaton Hance#765Challenger Columbus · Q14:6 7:6 3:6
  • 26/08/26LKei NishikoriATP US Open · Q24:6 4:6
  • 25/08/26WHenry Searle#217ATP US Open · Q16:1 6:2
  • 21/04/26LMitchell Krueger#361Challenger Savannah · R327:6 6:7 4:6

Elo over the last year

Abdullah ShelbayhMichael Antonius

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. ShelbayhM. Antonius
Hard court21–1953%2–340%
Clay6–1233%0–10%
Grass2–250%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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