Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Draxl vs Kaśnikowski: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 12mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Liam Draxl52%
Maks Kaśnikowski49%
Elo: L. Draxl 68% · M. Kaśnikowski 32%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Draxl32%
2:1 L. Draxl20%
2:1 M. Kaśnikowski19%
2:0 M. Kaśnikowski29%
First set
Liam Draxl52%
Maks Kaśnikowski48%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 41% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,365 matches
Games handicap
L. Draxl −0.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes35%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Draxl | Tour | M. Kaśnikowski | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 28% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.42 | 0.36 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.12 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 15/30 | 10/22 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 73% | |
| Matches in the sample | 66 | 68 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Liam Draxl
- 01/11/26LDylan Dietrich#189Challenger Sioux Falls · F6:1 3:6 4:6
- 31/10/26WSebastian Dominko#456Challenger Sioux Falls · SF6:7 7:6 6:4
- 31/10/26WDarwin Blanch#139Challenger Sioux Falls · QF6:3 3:6 6:0
- 29/10/26WDaniil Ostapenkov#511Challenger Sioux Falls · R164:5
- 27/10/26WTomasz Berkieta#642Challenger Sioux Falls · R327:6 7:6
- 17/10/26LMartin Landaluce#67Challenger Jinan · SF6:7 3:6
- 16/10/26WTomáš Macháč#69Challenger Jinan · QF6:4 3:6 6:4
- 15/10/26WIlya Ivashka#223Challenger Jinan · R166:4 0:6 6:4
- 14/10/26WJames Duckworth#70Challenger Jinan · R326:4 6:4
- 13/10/26WOmar Jasika#329Challenger Jinan · Q25:7 7:6 6:4
Maks Kaśnikowski
- 28/10/26LAidan Mayo#285Challenger Sioux Falls · R162:6 7:6 5:7
- 27/10/26WJames Kent Trotter#542Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:1 6:2
- 17/10/26LDamir Dzumhur#88Challenger Olbia · SF1:6 5:7
- 16/10/26WStefano Travaglia#159Challenger Olbia · QF6:2 7:5
- 14/10/26WAndrea Guerrieri#166Challenger Olbia · R166:3 6:4
- 12/10/26WCezar Cretu#269Challenger Olbia · R326:2 6:1
- 06/10/26LPhilip Henning#236Challenger Villena · R326:7 1:6
- 12/09/26LJay Friend#252Challenger Istanbul 3 · SF6:7 4:6
- 11/09/26WFrancesco Maestrelli#176Challenger Istanbul 3 · QF6:0 2:6 6:1
- 09/09/26WChristian Langmo#508Challenger Istanbul 3 · R166:3 7:6
Elo over the last year
Liam DraxlMaks Kaśnikowski
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Draxl | M. Kaśnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 33–1963% | 27–1761% |
| Clay | 7–654% | 13–1154% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
L. Draxl 0–1 M. Kaśnikowski
- 14/11/25Winner: M. Kaśnikowski4:6 3:6