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WTA 125 CaliQuarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Jeanjean vs Tubello: prediction and tips

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Leolia JeanjeanWTA #91Elo 1767clay 1742
-:-
Alice TubelloWTA #152Elo 1732clay 1757

Our tips

Tip in 10h 45m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Leolia Jeanjean50%
Alice Tubello50%

Elo: L. Jeanjean 48% · A. Tubello 52%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Jeanjean31%
2:1 L. Jeanjean20%
2:1 A. Tubello20%
2:0 A. Tubello30%

First set

Leolia Jeanjean50%
Alice Tubello50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.566%34%59%
19.558%42%52%
20.552%48%45%
21.549%51%41%
22.544%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,388 matches

Games handicap

L. Jeanjean −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. JeanjeanTourA. Tubello
Service points won57%56%55%
Return points won44%44%47%
Service games held67%63%61%
Breaks of serve35%37%42%
Aces per service game0.200.08
Double faults per game0.350.24
Sets with a tie-break13%7%
Tie-breaks won12/203/5
Wins in straight sets46%67%
Matches in the sample6228

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Leolia Jeanjean

Alice Tubello

Elo over the last year

Leolia JeanjeanAlice Tubello

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. JeanjeanA. Tubello
Hard court14–1254%0–20%
Clay19–1261%15–1060%
Grass4–180%0–10%

Head to head

L. Jeanjean 1–0 A. Tubello

  • 10/07/26Winner: L. Jeanjean3:6 6:3 6:4

Road through the tournament

Leolia Jeanjean

Alice Tubello

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