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WTA 125 CaliQuarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Monnet vs Romero Gormaz: prediction and tips

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Carole MonnetWTA #218Elo 1645clay 1668
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Leyre Romero GormazWTA #131Elo 1697clay 1722

Our tips

Tip in 10h 48m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Carole Monnet37%
Leyre Romero Gormaz63%

Elo: C. Monnet 42% · L. Romero Gormaz 58%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Monnet25%
2:1 C. Monnet17%
2:1 L. Romero Gormaz22%
2:0 L. Romero Gormaz37%

First set

Carole Monnet46%
Leyre Romero Gormaz54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%59%
19.560%40%52%
20.553%48%45%
21.549%51%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,518 matches

Games handicap

L. Romero Gormaz −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. MonnetTourL. Romero Gormaz
Service points won51%56%55%
Return points won48%44%47%
Service games held51%63%64%
Breaks of serve45%37%46%
Aces per service game0.110.20
Double faults per game0.540.41
Sets with a tie-break13%9%
Tie-breaks won10/172/11
Wins in straight sets67%69%
Matches in the sample5454

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Carole Monnet

Leyre Romero Gormaz

Elo over the last year

Carole MonnetLeyre Romero Gormaz

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. MonnetL. Romero Gormaz
Hard court4–1029%3–538%
Clay20–1853%29–1664%
Grass0–20%0–10%

Head to head

C. Monnet 1–2 L. Romero Gormaz

  • 05/06/26Winner: L. Romero Gormaz6:1 2:6 1:6
  • 03/03/26Winner: L. Romero Gormaz0:6 6:4 4:6
  • 24/10/25Winner: C. Monnet6:2 6:4

Road through the tournament

Carole Monnet

Leyre Romero Gormaz

Upcoming matches

See also