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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Bueno vs Midon: prediction and tips

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Gonzalo BuenoATP #198Elo 1697clay 1705
-:-
Lautaro MidonATP #185Elo 1783clay 1799

Our tips

Tip in 1d 10h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Gonzalo Bueno37%
Lautaro Midon63%

Elo: G. Bueno 37% · L. Midon 63%

from Elo (no market)

Set score

2:0 G. Bueno24%
2:1 G. Bueno15%
2:1 L. Midon19%
2:0 L. Midon42%

First set

Gonzalo Bueno41%
Lautaro Midon59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

Expected total: 21.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.576%24%84%
17.567%33%75%
18.559%41%67%
19.552%49%59%
20.546%54%51%
21.540%60%46%
22.536%64%40%

Sample: 12,218 matches

Games handicap

L. Midon −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes17%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. BuenoTourL. Midon
Service points won57%62%59%
Return points won42%38%43%
Service games held67%76%70%
Breaks of serve31%24%33%
Aces per service game0.130.30
Double faults per game0.290.19
Sets with a tie-break10%12%
Tie-breaks won12/1612/19
Wins in straight sets62%56%
Matches in the sample6968

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Gonzalo Bueno

Lautaro Midon

Elo over the last year

Gonzalo BuenoLautaro Midon

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. BuenoL. Midon
Hard court3–350%6–367%
Clay36–2658%37–2164%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

G. Bueno 1–1 L. Midon

  • 11/04/26Winner: G. Bueno5:7 6:3 6:1
  • 19/03/26Winner: L. Midon6:4 4:6 3:6

Road through the tournament

Gonzalo Bueno

Lautaro Midon

Upcoming matches