WTA 125 CaliQuarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying
Riera vs Zarazua: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 11h 39mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Julia Riera50%
Renata Zarazua50%
Elo: J. Riera 62% · R. Zarazua 38%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Riera30%
2:1 J. Riera20%
2:1 R. Zarazua20%
2:0 R. Zarazua30%
First set
Julia Riera50%
Renata Zarazua50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 66% | 34% | 59% |
| 19.5 | 58% | 42% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 45% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 41% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 57% | 37% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 33% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 31% |
Sample: 1,388 matches
Games handicap
J. Riera −0.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes23%
tour average 20%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Riera | Tour | R. Zarazua | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 55% | 56% | 56% |
| Return points won | 46% | 44% | 43% |
| Service games held | 60% | 63% | 63% |
| Breaks of serve | 40% | 37% | 35% |
| Aces per service game | 0.19 | 0.06 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.39 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 8% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/10 | 6/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 33% | 62% | |
| Matches in the sample | 35 | 55 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Julia Riera
- 04/11/26WJulia Grabher#112WTA 125 Cali · R166:2 6:4
- 03/11/26WValentina Mediorreal Arias#931WTA 125 Cali · R326:1 6:1
- 31/10/26LJulia Grabher#112WTA 125 Curitiba · SF3:6 3:6
- 30/10/26WSolana Sierra#104WTA 125 Curitiba · QF1:6 6:4 7:5
- 29/10/26WYasmine Kabbaj#254WTA 125 Curitiba · R166:2 6:4
- 27/10/26WRebeka Masarova#157WTA 125 Curitiba · R321:6 6:4 6:1
- 30/09/26LAntonia Ruzic#81WTA 125 Adana · R163:6 4:6
- 28/09/26WAnna Siskova#170WTA 125 Adana · R327:5 6:2
- 22/09/26LElena Micic#289WTA 125 Ankara · R321:6 3:6
- 15/09/26LElina Avanesyan#149WTA Sao Paulo · R322:6 4:6
Renata Zarazua
- 04/11/26WDespina Papamichail#209WTA 125 Cali · R167:6 7:5
- 03/11/26WKatrina Scott#376WTA 125 Cali · R326:1 6:1
- 10/10/26LRebecca Sramkova#146WTA 125 Suzhou · SF5:7 3:6
- 09/10/26WKatarina Zavatska#242WTA 125 Suzhou · QF6:1 7:6
- 07/10/26WDarya Astakhova#175WTA 125 Suzhou · R164:0
- 06/10/26WHan Shi#148WTA 125 Suzhou · R326:3 6:3
- 02/10/26LAryna Sabalenka#2WTA Beijing · R641:6 3:6
- 30/09/26WAnna Bondar#74WTA Beijing · R1287:6 6:3
- 22/09/26LAnna Bondar#74WTA Seoul · R326:2 3:6 1:6
- 14/09/26LCaroline Dolehide#172WTA Guadalajara · R321:6 6:3 3:6
Elo over the last year
Julia RieraRenata Zarazua
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Riera | R. Zarazua | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 4–640% | 19–1950% |
| Clay | 13–1057% | 4–544% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 3–538% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Julia Riera
- 03/11/26WValentina Mediorreal Arias#931WTA 125 Cali · R326:1 6:1
- 04/11/26WJulia Grabher#112WTA 125 Cali · R166:2 6:4
Renata Zarazua
- 03/11/26WKatrina Scott#376WTA 125 Cali · R326:1 6:1
- 04/11/26WDespina Papamichail#209WTA 125 Cali · R167:6 7:5
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