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WTA 125 CaliRound of 32claybest of three sets

Scott vs Zarazua 0:2: result and our tips

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Katrina ScottWTA #376Elo 1446clay 1483
0:2final1:6 1:6
Renata ZarazuaWTA #97Elo 1683clay 1597

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Scott 10 of 11, Zarazua 15 of 20 (tour average 67%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Won66%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Scott 8 of 11, Zarazua 15 of 20 (tour average 63%)

  • Match Winner: ZarazuaWon80%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 80%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Scott lost 8 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Katrina Scott17%
Renata Zarazua83%

Elo: K. Scott 34% · R. Zarazua 66%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Scott8%
2:1 K. Scott9%
2:1 R. Zarazua20%
2:0 R. Zarazua63%

First set

Katrina Scott24%
Renata Zarazua76%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes29%
no72%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.584%16%86%
16.574%26%77%
17.564%36%68%
18.553%47%59%
19.545%55%52%
20.539%62%45%
21.535%65%41%

Sample: 871 matches

Games handicap

R. Zarazua −5.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 19.0in · 14 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Katrina ScottRenata Zarazua
1Aces2
1Double faults0
66%First serves in90%
33%First-serve points won68%
29%Second-serve points won75%
1/3Break points converted6/9
1/7Service games held6/7
32%Service points won68%
32%Return points won68%
25Total points won54

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. ScottTourR. Zarazua
Service points won54%56%56%
Return points won40%44%43%
Service games held61%63%63%
Breaks of serve28%37%34%
Aces per service game0.210.06
Double faults per game0.320.15
Sets with a tie-break26%7%
Tie-breaks won1/65/9
Wins in straight sets100%60%
Matches in the sample1154

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Katrina Scott

Renata Zarazua

Elo over the last year

Katrina ScottRenata Zarazua

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. ScottR. Zarazua
Hard court2–625%20–1951%
Clay0–20%2–529%
Grass0–10%3–538%

Head to head

K. Scott 1–0 R. Zarazua

  • 31/10/23Winner: K. Scott7:6 4:6 6:2

Road through the tournament

Katrina Scott

Renata Zarazua

First match in this tournament.

See also