WTA 125 CaliRound of 16claybest of three sets
Papamichail vs Zarazua: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 8mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Despina Papamichail20%
Renata Zarazua80%
Elo: D. Papamichail 39% · R. Zarazua 62%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 D. Papamichail9%
2:1 D. Papamichail10%
2:1 R. Zarazua21%
2:0 R. Zarazua61%
First set
Despina Papamichail26%
Renata Zarazua74%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 19.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%
The 19.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 76% | 24% | 77% |
| 17.5 | 66% | 34% | 68% |
| 18.5 | 55% | 45% | 59% |
| 19.5 | 47% | 53% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 41% | 59% | 45% |
| 21.5 | 38% | 62% | 41% |
| 22.5 | 34% | 66% | 37% |
Sample: 996 matches
Games handicap
R. Zarazua −5.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes18%
tour average 20%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Papamichail | Tour | R. Zarazua | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 52% | 56% | 56% |
| Return points won | 46% | 44% | 43% |
| Service games held | 55% | 63% | 63% |
| Breaks of serve | 43% | 37% | 34% |
| Aces per service game | 0.06 | 0.06 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.19 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 7% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/8 | 5/9 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 60% | |
| Matches in the sample | 40 | 54 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Despina Papamichail
- 03/11/26WMaria Carle#232WTA 125 Cali · R326:2 5:7 6:4
- 26/10/26LNauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva#460WTA 125 Curitiba · R325:7 6:1 3:6
- 13/10/26LTamara Zidansek#139WTA 125 Mallorca · R324:6 2:6
- 21/09/26LGuiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales#142WTA 125 Tolentino · R323:6 3:6
- 18/09/26LYasmine Kabbaj#254WTA 125 Valencia · QF1:6 5:7
- 16/09/26WJennifer Ruggeri#252WTA 125 Valencia · R166:1 6:7 7:5
- 14/09/26WNuria Brancaccio#228WTA 125 Valencia · R326:3 6:4
- 10/09/26LSimona Waltert#133WTA 125 Montreux · R166:2 1:6 3:6
- 07/09/26WAnastasia Zolotareva#318WTA 125 Montreux · R326:7 6:3 6:4
- 26/08/26LEkaterine Gorgodze#179WTA US Open · Q26:7 6:7
Renata Zarazua
- 03/11/26WKatrina Scott#376WTA 125 Cali · R326:1 6:1
- 10/10/26LRebecca Sramkova#146WTA 125 Suzhou · SF5:7 3:6
- 09/10/26WKatarina Zavatska#242WTA 125 Suzhou · QF6:1 7:6
- 07/10/26WDarya Astakhova#175WTA 125 Suzhou · R164:0
- 06/10/26WHan Shi#148WTA 125 Suzhou · R326:3 6:3
- 02/10/26LAryna Sabalenka#2WTA Beijing · R641:6 3:6
- 30/09/26WAnna Bondar#74WTA Beijing · R1287:6 6:3
- 22/09/26LAnna Bondar#74WTA Seoul · R326:2 3:6 1:6
- 14/09/26LCaroline Dolehide#172WTA Guadalajara · R321:6 6:3 3:6
- 30/08/26LPolina Iatcenko#169WTA US Open · R1286:4 4:6 6:7
Elo over the last year
Despina PapamichailRenata Zarazua
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Papamichail | R. Zarazua | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–250% | 19–1950% |
| Clay | 17–1849% | 3–538% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 3–538% |
Head to head
D. Papamichail 1–1 R. Zarazua
- 22/11/23Winner: R. Zarazua4:6 2:6
- 24/08/21Winner: D. Papamichail7:5 7:6
Road through the tournament
Despina Papamichail
- 03/11/26WMaria Carle#232WTA 125 Cali · R326:2 5:7 6:4
Renata Zarazua
- 03/11/26WKatrina Scott#376WTA 125 Cali · R326:1 6:1