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Challenger SydneyChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Schoolkate vs Overbeck: prediction and tips

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Tristan SchoolkateATP #144Elo 1743hard 1729
-:-
Carl Emil OverbeckATP #308Elo 1537hard 1529

Our tips

Tip in 19h 48m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Tristan Schoolkate66%
Carl Emil Overbeck34%

Elo: T. Schoolkate 76% · C. Overbeck 24%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Schoolkate43%
2:1 T. Schoolkate22%
2:1 C. Overbeck15%
2:0 C. Overbeck20%

First set

Tristan Schoolkate62%
Carl Emil Overbeck38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

Expected total: 24.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%28%62%
20.564%36%54%
21.557%43%49%
22.552%48%42%
23.545%55%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.538%63%32%

Sample: 5,638 matches

Games handicap

T. Schoolkate −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes44%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. SchoolkateTourC. Overbeck
Service points won66%62%64%
Return points won35%38%37%
Service games held83%76%78%
Breaks of serve19%24%22%
Aces per service game0.690.58
Double faults per game0.250.25
Sets with a tie-break19%21%
Tie-breaks won15/328/15
Wins in straight sets57%44%
Matches in the sample6831

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tristan Schoolkate

  • 10/11/26LCruz Hewitt#326Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:3 5:7 6:7
  • 29/10/26LJie Cui#368Challenger Ningbo · R162:6 6:3 2:6
  • 27/10/26WMasamichi Imamura#439Challenger Ningbo · R326:4 6:3
  • 25/10/26WColeman Wong#84Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · F4:6 7:6 6:4
  • 24/10/26WJie Cui#368Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · SF6:7 6:4 7:6
  • 23/10/26WKeegan Smith#189Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · QF7:6 6:3
  • 20/10/26WSergey Fomin#333Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:2 4:6 6:4
  • 14/10/26LLuka Pavlovic#198Challenger Jinan · R325:7 4:6
  • 05/10/26LDane Sweeny#116ATP Shanghai · Q16:3 3:6 2:6
  • 01/10/26LHarold Mayot#210Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R164:6 6:2 4:6

Carl Emil Overbeck

Elo over the last year

Tristan SchoolkateCarl Emil Overbeck

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. SchoolkateC. Overbeck
Hard court27–2354%18–1358%
Clay6–460%0–10%
Grass4–450%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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