Overbeck vs Shang: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 4hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: C. Overbeck 16% · J. Shang 84%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 74% | 26% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 35% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 33% | 67% | 35% |
Sample: 3,437 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| C. Overbeck | Tour | J. Shang | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 34% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.61 | 0.39 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/15 | 2/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 43% | |
| Matches in the sample | 33 | 18 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Carl Emil Overbeck
- 10/11/26WFlorian Broska#318Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:2 5:7 7:6
- 05/11/26LKasidit Samrej#375Challenger Taipei · R164:6 3:6
- 04/11/26WChun Hsin Tseng#230Challenger Taipei · R327:6 6:4
- 27/10/26LYaroslav Demin#361Challenger Ningbo · R324:6 4:6
- 29/09/26LHugo Grenier#418Challenger Porto 2 · R324:6 2:6
- 07/09/26LAlafia Ayeni#428Challenger Istanbul 3 · R322:6 5:7
- 01/09/26LLuca Potenza#561Challenger Manacor · Q23:6 3:6
- 31/08/26WRyan PenistonChallenger Manacor · Q16:2 6:3
- 17/05/26LEnrico Dalla Valle#304Challenger Cervia · Q11:6 1:6
- 05/04/26LJoshua Charlton#873Challenger Wuning · Q13:6 6:7
Juncheng Shang
- 10/11/26WJake Delaney#338Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:3 3:6 6:4
- 26/10/26LLloyd Harris#103Challenger Seoul · R324:6 3:6
- 03/10/26LAlexander Zverev#1ATP Beijing · R160:6 3:6
- 01/10/26WSebastián Báez#52ATP Beijing · R325:7 6:3 7:5
- 24/09/26LAdrian Mannarino#61ATP Chengdu · R326:7 2:6
- 31/08/26LMarco Trungelliti#88ATP US Open · R1286:0 6:7 6:1 3:6 4:6
- 14/08/26LLorenzo Sonego#115ATP Cincinnati · R1283:6 3:6
- 06/08/26LLuciano Darderi#21ATP Montreal · R326:4 1:6 4:6
- 04/08/26WAndrey Rublev#23ATP Montreal · R647:5 4:6 7:6
- 02/08/26WAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#56ATP Montreal · R1286:3 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| C. Overbeck | J. Shang | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 20–1361% | 7–1139% |
| Clay | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Carl Emil Overbeck
- 10/11/26WFlorian Broska#318Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:2 5:7 7:6
Juncheng Shang
- 10/11/26WJake Delaney#338Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:3 3:6 6:4
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