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Challenger KnoxvilleChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Galarneau vs Kozlov: prediction and tips

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Alexis GalarneauATP #192Elo 1718hard 1686
-:-
Stefan KozlovATP #205Elo 1687hard 1677

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.562%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Galarneau: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Alexis Galarneau46%
Stefan Kozlov54%

Elo: A. Galarneau 51% · S. Kozlov 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Galarneau27%
2:1 A. Galarneau18%
2:1 S. Kozlov20%
2:0 S. Kozlov34%

First set

Alexis Galarneau46%
Stefan Kozlov54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%27%71%
19.565%35%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,683 matches

Games handicap

S. Kozlov −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. GalarneauTourS. Kozlov
Service points won62%62%61%
Return points won38%38%42%
Service games held76%76%74%
Breaks of serve24%24%32%
Aces per service game0.320.24
Double faults per game0.340.29
Sets with a tie-break17%11%
Tie-breaks won16/287/16
Wins in straight sets62%53%
Matches in the sample6862

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alexis Galarneau

Stefan Kozlov

Elo over the last year

Alexis GalarneauStefan Kozlov

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. GalarneauS. Kozlov
Hard court24–2351%26–1958%
Clay5–363%7–654%
Grass8–562%3–175%

Head to head

A. Galarneau 1–1 S. Kozlov

  • 20/01/26Winner: S. Kozlov6:7 6:2 1:6
  • 06/10/22Winner: A. Galarneau6:1 7:5

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