Baris vs Tarvet: prediction and tips
·
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 74% → with the players' profiles 70%
No tie-break in recent matches: Baris 17 of 20, Tarvet 16 of 20 (tour average 68%)
Other tips
- Set Betting: Tarvet 2-066%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Baris lost 0-2 in 6 of the last 20 matches, Tarvet won 2-0 in 11 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 47% → with the players' profiles 43%
Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Baris 12 of 20, Tarvet 7 of 20 (tour average 38%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: O. Baris 20% · O. Tarvet 80%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 77% | 23% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 58% | 42% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 43% | 57% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 36% | 64% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 31% | 69% | 37% |
Sample: 2,341 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| O. Baris | Tour | O. Tarvet | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | 86% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.41 | 0.55 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/5 | 1/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 75% | |
| Matches in the sample | 23 | 22 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ozan Baris
- 09/11/26WPatrick Zahraj#536Challenger Knoxville · Q26:2 6:3
- 08/11/26WQuinn Vandecasteele#467Challenger Knoxville · Q16:3 6:2
- 02/11/26LJames Kent Trotter#516Challenger Charlottesville · Q23:6 6:3 3:6
- 01/11/26WJangjun Kim#849Challenger Charlottesville · Q16:3 6:4
- 27/10/26LDaniil Ostapenkov#508Challenger Sioux Falls · R321:6 1:6
- 26/10/26LJames Kent Trotter#516Challenger Sioux Falls · Q26:7 7:6 5:7
- 25/10/26WHunter Heck#601Challenger Sioux Falls · Q16:3 6:4
- 20/10/26LCosme Rolland de Ravel#576Challenger Fort Worth · R321:6 2:6
- 28/09/26LBraden Shick#206Challenger Columbus · R326:7 6:0 3:6
- 22/09/26LIgor Marcondes#285Challenger San Diego 2 · R321:6 3:6
Oliver Tarvet
- 08/10/26LLaslo Djere#133Challenger Villena · R164:6 6:7
- 06/10/26WFrancesco Maestrelli#168Challenger Villena · R324:6 6:3 6:4
- 05/10/26WDiego Dedura#185Challenger Villena · Q26:3 7:5
- 04/10/26WMathys Erhard#374Challenger Villena · Q16:4 6:3
- 28/08/26LCharles Broom#261Challenger Roehampton 2 · SF4:6 7:5 1:6
- 27/08/26WEmile Hudd#460Challenger Roehampton 2 · QF6:2 6:4
- 26/08/26WOliver Bonding#658Challenger Roehampton 2 · R166:4 6:0
- 25/08/26WMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#199Challenger Roehampton 2 · R326:4 6:4
- 22/08/26WLucas Poullain#316Challenger Roehampton · F6:3 6:2
- 21/08/26WAnton Matusevich#330Challenger Roehampton · SF6:2 2:6 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| O. Baris | O. Tarvet | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–957% | 11–285% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 5–456% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Ozan Baris
- 08/11/26WQuinn Vandecasteele#467Challenger Knoxville · Q16:3 6:2
- 09/11/26WPatrick Zahraj#536Challenger Knoxville · Q26:2 6:3
Oliver Tarvet
First match in this tournament.
Upcoming matches
- Daniel Milavsky vs Murphy Cassone, · Challenger Knoxville
- Alexis Galarneau vs Stefan Kozlov, · Challenger Knoxville
- Aidan Mayo vs Michael Mmoh, · Challenger Knoxville
- Braden Shick vs Andres Andrade, · Challenger Knoxville
- Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula, · WTA WTA Tour Finals
- Alessandro Rubini vs Franco Roncadelli, · Challenger Lima