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Challenger KnoxvilleChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Baris vs Tarvet: prediction and tips

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Ozan BarisATP #397Elo 1581hard 1573
-:-
Oliver TarvetATP #253Elo 1877hard 1817

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: No70%

Where the number comes from: market alone 74% → with the players' profiles 70%

No tie-break in recent matches: Baris 17 of 20, Tarvet 16 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Other tips

  • Set Betting: Tarvet 2-066%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Baris lost 0-2 in 6 of the last 20 matches, Tarvet won 2-0 in 11 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.543%

Where the number comes from: market alone 47% → with the players' profiles 43%

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Baris 12 of 20, Tarvet 7 of 20 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Ozan Baris16%
Oliver Tarvet85%

Elo: O. Baris 20% · O. Tarvet 80%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 O. Baris8%
2:1 O. Baris7%
2:1 O. Tarvet20%
2:0 O. Tarvet64%

First set

Ozan Baris23%
Oliver Tarvet78%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes27%
no73%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%23%79%
18.568%32%71%
19.558%42%62%
20.549%51%54%
21.543%57%49%
22.536%64%42%
23.531%69%37%

Sample: 2,341 matches

Games handicap

O. Tarvet −4.557%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

O. BarisTourO. Tarvet
Service points won64%62%67%
Return points won38%38%39%
Service games held78%76%86%
Breaks of serve25%24%26%
Aces per service game0.410.55
Double faults per game0.220.19
Sets with a tie-break9%13%
Tie-breaks won2/51/7
Wins in straight sets77%75%
Matches in the sample2322

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ozan Baris

Oliver Tarvet

Elo over the last year

Ozan BarisOliver Tarvet

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

O. BarisO. Tarvet
Hard court12–957%11–285%
Grass1–150%5–456%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Ozan Baris

Oliver Tarvet

First match in this tournament.

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