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Challenger KnoxvilleChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Baris vs Zahraj 2:0: result and our tips

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Ozan BarisATP #397Elo 1562hard 1551
2:0final6:2 6:3
Patrick ZahrajATP #536Elo 1471hard 1485

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zahraj: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Set Betting: Baris 2-0Won47%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Baris won 2-0 in 7 of the last 20 matches, Zahraj lost 0-2 in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ozan Baris65%
Patrick Zahraj35%

Elo: O. Baris 59% · P. Zahraj 41%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 O. Baris43%
2:1 O. Baris22%
2:1 P. Zahraj15%
2:0 P. Zahraj20%

First set

Ozan Baris61%
Patrick Zahraj39%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 52%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%27%71%
19.565%35%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.553%48%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,713 matches

Games handicap

O. Baris −3.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Ozan BarisPatrick Zahraj
5Aces2
1Double faults4
60%First serves in45%
79%First-serve points won78%
58%Second-serve points won39%
4/4Break points converted0/2
8/8Service games held5/9
71%Service points won57%
43%Return points won29%
56Total points won43

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

O. BarisTourP. Zahraj
Service points won63%62%59%
Return points won38%38%39%
Service games held77%76%68%
Breaks of serve24%24%24%
Aces per service game0.390.36
Double faults per game0.230.53
Sets with a tie-break9%13%
Tie-breaks won2/56/11
Wins in straight sets75%73%
Matches in the sample2341

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ozan Baris

Patrick Zahraj

Elo over the last year

Ozan BarisPatrick Zahraj

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

O. BarisP. Zahraj
Hard court11–1052%13–2039%
Clay0–02–529%
Grass1–150%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Ozan Baris

Patrick Zahraj

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