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Challenger KnoxvilleChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Zahraj vs Dominko 2:0: result and our tips

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Patrick ZahrajATP #536Elo 1442hard 1454
2:0final7:6(1) 6:2
Sebastian DominkoATP #451Elo 1646hard 1676

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: DominkoLost72%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zahraj lost the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Dominko won the first set in 5 of the last 7 matches (tour average 50%); Dominko: 5 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Patrick Zahraj28%
Sebastian Dominko72%

Elo: P. Zahraj 22% · S. Dominko 78%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Zahraj16%
2:1 P. Zahraj13%
2:1 S. Dominko22%
2:0 S. Dominko50%

First set

Patrick Zahraj34%
Sebastian Dominko66%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 54%market (no margin): 48%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.575%25%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.539%61%37%
24.536%64%35%

Sample: 4,485 matches

Games handicap

S. Dominko −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Patrick ZahrajSebastian Dominko
0Aces10
4Double faults5
53%First serves in60%
88%First-serve points won72%
55%Second-serve points won35%
3/9Break points converted1/1
9/10Service games held7/10
72%Service points won57%
43%Return points won28%
75Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. ZahrajTourS. Dominko
Service points won58%62%68%
Return points won38%38%36%
Service games held68%76%85%
Breaks of serve24%24%18%
Aces per service game0.370.83
Double faults per game0.530.38
Sets with a tie-break12%31%
Tie-breaks won5/103/5
Wins in straight sets71%80%
Matches in the sample407

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Patrick Zahraj

  • 01/11/26LAndres Martin#364Challenger Charlottesville · Q10:3
  • 26/10/26LKarl Poling#446Challenger Sioux Falls · Q26:7 6:7
  • 25/10/26WGovind NandaChallenger Sioux Falls · Q17:6 7:6
  • 19/10/26LKaylan Bigun#523Challenger Fort Worth · Q23:6 2:6
  • 18/10/26WShunsuke Mitsui#647Challenger Fort Worth · Q16:3 6:4
  • 28/09/26LAlexandre Reco#815Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q25:7 3:6
  • 27/09/26WKarl Poling#446Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q13:6 6:3 6:2
  • 21/09/26LMurphy Cassone#286Challenger Saint Tropez · Q22:6 5:7
  • 20/09/26WMathys Erhard#374Challenger Saint Tropez · Q14:6 7:5 7:6
  • 14/09/26LMaxime Janvier#606Challenger Rennes · Q24:6 4:6

Sebastian Dominko

  • 31/10/26LLiam Draxl#165Challenger Sioux Falls · SF7:6 6:7 4:6
  • 30/10/26WMax Hans Rehberg#241Challenger Sioux Falls · QF7:6 6:4
  • 29/10/26WValentin Royer#119Challenger Sioux Falls · R167:5 7:5
  • 27/10/26WKarl Poling#446Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:4 7:6
  • 26/10/26WBenjamin Willwerth#785Challenger Sioux Falls · Q27:5 6:3
  • 25/10/26WJustin Boulais#411Challenger Sioux Falls · Q15:7 6:3 6:4
  • 11/10/26LDaniel Masur#351Challenger Olbia · Q16:7 1:6
  • 16/09/25LAndre Ilagan#196Challenger Columbus · R323:6 6:3 4:6
  • 15/09/25WDaniel Milavsky#310Challenger Columbus · Q26:1 6:3
  • 14/09/25WEdward Winter#404Challenger Columbus · Q13:6 6:4 6:4

Elo over the last year

Patrick ZahrajSebastian Dominko

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. ZahrajS. Dominko
Hard court12–2038%5–271%
Clay2–529%0–0
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also