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WTA WTA Tour FinalsFinalsRound robinhardbest of three sets

Svitolina vs Muchová: prediction and tips

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Elina SvitolinaWTA #6Elo 2093hard 2056
-:-
Karolína MuchováWTA #7Elo 2114hard 2089

Our tips

Tip in 19h 44m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Elina Svitolina40%
Karolína Muchová60%

Elo: E. Svitolina 45% · K. Muchová 55%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Svitolina26%
2:1 E. Svitolina17%
2:1 K. Muchová21%
2:0 K. Muchová36%

First set

Elina Svitolina45%
Karolína Muchová55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,522 matches

Games handicap

K. Muchová −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 23%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. SvitolinaTourK. Muchová
Service points won59%56%62%
Return points won46%44%43%
Service games held72%63%76%
Breaks of serve42%37%33%
Aces per service game0.310.34
Double faults per game0.310.18
Sets with a tie-break11%9%
Tie-breaks won10/1610/11
Wins in straight sets56%61%
Matches in the sample6454

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Elina Svitolina

Karolína Muchová

Elo over the last year

Elina SvitolinaKarolína Muchová

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. SvitolinaK. Muchová
Hard court33–1175%24–875%
Clay12–380%6–367%
Grass3–260%11–285%

Head to head

E. Svitolina 3–1 K. Muchová

  • 18/04/26Winner: K. Muchová4:6 6:2 4:6
  • 23/03/25Winner: E. Svitolina6:2 3:6 6:2
  • 09/07/19Winner: E. Svitolina7:5 6:4
  • 14/02/19Winner: E. Svitolina6:4 6:2

Road through the tournament

Elina Svitolina

Karolína Muchová

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