Sabalenka vs Andreeva: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 19h 44mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: A. Sabalenka 70% · M. Andreeva 31%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 62% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,452 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 23%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Sabalenka | Tour | M. Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 56% | 61% |
| Return points won | 44% | 44% | 47% |
| Service games held | 80% | 63% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 36% | 37% | 43% |
| Aces per service game | 0.46 | 0.30 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.34 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 15% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 13/19 | 11/19 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 90% | 75% | |
| Matches in the sample | 59 | 67 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Aryna Sabalenka
- 09/11/26WKarolína Muchová#7WTA WTA Tour Finals · RR7:6 7:5
- 14/10/26LAnn Li#31WTA Wuhan · R326:3 4:6 6:7
- 04/10/26LNikola Bartunkova#30WTA Beijing · R324:6 3:6
- 02/10/26WRenata Zarazua#114WTA Beijing · R646:1 6:3
- 12/09/26LElena Rybakina#1WTA US Open · F4:6 7:5 2:6
- 10/09/26WJessica Pegula#5WTA US Open · SF7:5 6:2
- 08/09/26WLinda Nosková#8WTA US Open · QF7:6 3:6 7:6
- 06/09/26WTaylor Townsend#93WTA US Open · R166:4 6:3
- 04/09/26WKamilla Rakhimova#45WTA US Open · R326:3 6:4
- 02/09/26WPolina Iatcenko#172WTA US Open · R646:1 6:1
Mirra Andreeva
- 09/11/26WElina Svitolina#6WTA WTA Tour Finals · RR6:4 6:0
- 11/10/26LQinwen Zheng#22WTA Beijing · F5:7 4:6
- 10/10/26WNikola Bartunkova#30WTA Beijing · SF6:2 6:2
- 08/10/26WEkaterina Alexandrova#32WTA Beijing · QF7:6 7:6
- 06/10/26WDaria Snigur#42WTA Beijing · R166:2 6:2
- 04/10/26WPolina Kudermetova#86WTA Beijing · R326:4 6:1
- 02/10/26WYue Yuan#171WTA Beijing · R643:6 6:0 6:0
- 25/09/26LLeylah Fernandez#18WTA Singapore · QF2:6 5:7
- 23/09/26WAliaksandra Sasnovich#90WTA Singapore · R166:2 6:2
- 09/09/26LCoco Gauff#4WTA US Open · QF6:2 6:7 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Sabalenka | M. Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 35–685% | 28–1172% |
| Clay | 8–373% | 22–388% |
| Grass | 5–271% | 1–233% |
Head to head
A. Sabalenka 4–2 M. Andreeva
- 16/03/25Winner: M. Andreeva6:2 4:6 3:6
- 19/01/25Winner: A. Sabalenka6:1 6:2
- 04/01/25Winner: A. Sabalenka6:3 6:2
- 05/06/24Winner: M. Andreeva7:6 4:6 4:6
- 01/05/24Winner: A. Sabalenka6:1 6:4
- 01/05/23Winner: A. Sabalenka6:3 6:1
Road through the tournament
Aryna Sabalenka
- 09/11/26WKarolína Muchová#7WTA WTA Tour Finals · RR7:6 7:5
Mirra Andreeva
- 09/11/26WElina Svitolina#6WTA WTA Tour Finals · RR6:4 6:0
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