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Challenger MonastirChallenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Tepmahc vs Giustino: prediction and tips

·

Nicolas TepmahcATP #621Elo 1412hard 1417
-:-
Lorenzo GiustinoATP #289Elo 1692hard 1656

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.557%

Where the number comes from: market alone 60% → with the players' profiles 57%

Giustino: 6 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.537%

Where the number comes from: market alone 39% → with the players' profiles 37%

Giustino: 6 matches in a row over 22.5 games; Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Tepmahc 2 of 7, Giustino 14 of 20 (tour average 42%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Nicolas Tepmahc20%
Lorenzo Giustino80%

Elo: N. Tepmahc 20% · L. Giustino 80%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Tepmahc11%
2:1 N. Tepmahc9%
2:1 L. Giustino21%
2:0 L. Giustino59%

First set

Nicolas Tepmahc26%
Lorenzo Giustino74%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%27%79%
18.565%35%71%
19.556%44%62%
20.548%52%54%
21.542%58%49%
22.536%64%42%
23.532%68%37%

Sample: 3,074 matches

Games handicap

L. Giustino −4.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. TepmahcTourL. Giustino
Service points won61%62%60%
Return points won40%38%39%
Service games held73%76%74%
Breaks of serve26%24%26%
Aces per service game0.220.34
Double faults per game0.170.29
Sets with a tie-break5%17%
Tie-breaks won0/114/26
Wins in straight sets100%55%
Matches in the sample865

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nicolas Tepmahc

  • 09/11/26WBranko Djuric#481Challenger Monastir · Q26:4 6:2
  • 08/11/26WIsaac NorteyChallenger Monastir · Q16:3 6:3
  • 11/10/26LUgo Blanchet#334Challenger Roanne · Q12:6 1:6
  • 06/09/26LOskari Paldanius#625Challenger Cassis · Q16:3 1:6 1:2
  • 17/08/26LFilip Peliwo#618Challenger Roehampton · Q24:6 6:2 6:7
  • 16/08/26WRhys LawlorChallenger Roehampton · Q16:4 6:2
  • 19/07/26LSergio Callejon Hernando#489Challenger Segovia · Q15:7 1:6
  • 12/07/26LPavel Lagutin#390Challenger Pozoblanco · Q13:6 6:2 3:6
  • 07/09/25LKenny De SchepperChallenger Rennes · Q15:7 1:6
  • 02/09/25LMaxime Janvier#606Challenger Cassis · Q24:6 6:1 0:6

Lorenzo Giustino

Elo over the last year

Nicolas TepmahcLorenzo Giustino

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. TepmahcL. Giustino
Hard court3–538%9–950%
Clay0–024–2252%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Nicolas Tepmahc

Lorenzo Giustino

First match in this tournament.

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