Schwaerzler vs Uchida: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 7h 54mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: J. Schwaerzler 79% · K. Uchida 21%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 28% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 63% | 37% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 46% | 54% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 40% | 60% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 34% | 66% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 31% | 69% | 35% |
Sample: 2,847 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Schwaerzler | Tour | K. Uchida | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.50 | 0.58 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.24 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 23% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 23/37 | 7/16 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 51% | 59% | |
| Matches in the sample | 65 | 46 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Joel Schwaerzler
- 09/11/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#412Challenger Matsuyama · R326:2 6:2
- 02/11/26LJan Kumstat#162Challenger Taipei · R325:7 6:3 6:7
- 24/10/26LTitouan Droguet#81ATP Vienna · Q13:6 6:3 5:7
- 17/10/26LFederico Cina#139ATP Brussels · Q13:6 6:7
- 08/10/26LJack Pinnington Jones#188Challenger Villena · R161:6 3:6
- 06/10/26WFelix Balshaw#175Challenger Villena · R326:7 6:3 7:5
- 03/10/26LSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#202Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · SF4:6 2:6
- 02/10/26WLucas Poullain#316Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · QF6:4 6:1
- 01/10/26WHarry Wendelken#236Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R166:4 6:3
- 29/09/26WAlberto Barroso Campos#715Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R326:3 7:5
Kaichi Uchida
- 10/11/26WMili Poljicak#276Challenger Matsuyama · R326:2 6:7 6:3
- 02/11/26LChun-Chien HouChallenger Taipei · Q26:7 6:7
- 01/11/26WAlafia Ayeni#428Challenger Taipei · Q16:1 4:0
- 28/10/26LHarold Mayot#210Challenger Ningbo · R162:6 3:6
- 26/10/26WOgnjen Milic#392Challenger Ningbo · R327:6 6:2
- 20/10/26LZhizhen Zhang#156Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:7 3:6
- 12/10/26LIlya Ivashka#223Challenger Jinan · Q22:6 4:6
- 11/10/26WJesse DelaneyChallenger Jinan · Q16:2 7:5
- 08/10/26LRyan Seggerman#560Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:4 5:7 4:6
- 06/10/26WMasamichi Imamura#439Challenger Wuning 3 · R327:6 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Schwaerzler | K. Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 21–1558% | 17–2540% |
| Clay | 14–1450% | 0–20% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–30% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Joel Schwaerzler
- 09/11/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#412Challenger Matsuyama · R326:2 6:2
Kaichi Uchida
- 10/11/26WMili Poljicak#276Challenger Matsuyama · R326:2 6:7 6:3
Upcoming matches
- Jay Friend vs Naoya Honda, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Niels McDonald, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Fajing Sun vs Billy Harris, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva, · WTA WTA Tour Finals
- Cruz Hewitt vs Akira Santillan, · Challenger Brisbane 3
- Carl Emil Overbeck vs Juncheng Shang, · Challenger Brisbane 3