Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Poljicak vs Uchida: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Mili Poljicak64%
Kaichi Uchida36%
Elo: M. Poljicak 64% · K. Uchida 36%
from Elo (no market)
Set score
2:0 M. Poljicak42%
2:1 M. Poljicak20%
2:1 K. Uchida15%
2:0 K. Uchida24%
First set
Mili Poljicak59%
Kaichi Uchida41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%
Total games
Expected total: 23.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 74% | 26% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 34% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 52% | 48% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 64% | 35% |
Sample: 14,921 matches
Games handicap
M. Poljicak −2.553%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes37%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Poljicak | Tour | K. Uchida | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 34% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.52 | 0.57 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.24 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/12 | 7/15 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 63% | |
| Matches in the sample | 40 | 45 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Mili Poljicak
- 03/11/26LSho Shimabukuro#118Challenger Taipei · R324:6 6:7
- 26/10/26LYuta Shimizu#405Challenger Ningbo · R327:6 3:6 4:6
- 13/10/26LFrancesco Maestrelli#176Challenger Olbia · R322:6 3:6
- 05/10/26LMax Hans Rehberg#248Challenger Villena · Q27:5 3:6 3:6
- 04/10/26WPatrick Brady#677Challenger Villena · Q16:4 3:6 7:5
- 01/10/26LHenrique Rocha#99Challenger Porto 2 · R162:6 0:6
- 28/09/26WMax Basing#259Challenger Porto 2 · R326:1 6:4
- 07/09/26LStefanos Sakellaridis#129Challenger Genoa · R324:6 4:6
- 31/08/26LMatej Dodig#138Challenger Como · R322:6 3:6
- 24/08/26LMax Schoenhaus#313Challenger Augsburg · R324:6 3:6
Kaichi Uchida
- 02/11/26LChun-Chien HouChallenger Taipei · Q26:7 6:7
- 01/11/26WAlafia Ayeni#434Challenger Taipei · Q16:1 4:0
- 28/10/26LHarold Mayot#220Challenger Ningbo · R162:6 3:6
- 26/10/26WOgnjen Milic#377Challenger Ningbo · R327:6 6:2
- 20/10/26LZhizhen Zhang#162Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:7 3:6
- 12/10/26LIlya Ivashka#223Challenger Jinan · Q22:6 4:6
- 11/10/26WJesse DelaneyChallenger Jinan · Q16:2 7:5
- 08/10/26LRyan Seggerman#563Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:4 5:7 4:6
- 06/10/26WMasamichi Imamura#437Challenger Wuning 3 · R327:6 6:2
- 22/09/26LFederico Cina#136ATP Chengdu · Q11:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Mili PoljicakKaichi Uchida
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Poljicak | K. Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–529% | 16–2539% |
| Clay | 20–1459% | 0–20% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–30% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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