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ATP Stockholm250Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Rune vs Bergs: prediction and tips

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Holger RuneATP #433Elo 2053hard 2020
-:-
Zizou BergsATP #40Elo 1945hard 1892

Our tips

Tip in 1d 14h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Holger Rune57%
Zizou Bergs43%

Elo: H. Rune 68% · Z. Bergs 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Rune36%
2:1 H. Rune21%
2:1 Z. Bergs19%
2:0 Z. Bergs24%

First set

Holger Rune55%
Zizou Bergs45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.5 · 50%market (no margin): 52%

The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.571%29%60%
21.564%37%54%
22.558%42%46%
23.550%50%40%
24.545%55%38%
25.543%58%35%
26.538%62%30%

Sample: 6,015 matches

Games handicap

H. Rune −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes50%

tour average 39%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. RuneTourZ. Bergs
Service points won65%62%64%
Return points won33%38%37%
Service games held82%76%81%
Breaks of serve14%24%22%
Aces per service game0.460.59
Double faults per game0.220.34
Sets with a tie-break25%18%
Tie-breaks won2/48/24
Wins in straight sets0%58%
Matches in the sample652

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Holger Rune

Zizou Bergs

Elo over the last year

Holger RuneZizou Bergs

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. RuneZ. Bergs
Hard court2–433%12–1643%
Clay0–07–750%
Grass0–07–370%

Head to head

H. Rune 1–0 Z. Bergs

  • 15/02/22Winner: H. Rune1:6 6:3 6:4

Upcoming matches

See also