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Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Hou vs Uchida 2:0: result and our tips

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Chun-Chien HouElo 1425hard 1422
2:0final7:6(5) 7:6(5)
Kaichi UchidaATP #401Elo 1448hard 1453

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Chun-Chien Hou21%
Kaichi Uchida79%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C.-C. Hou12%
2:1 C.-C. Hou10%
2:1 K. Uchida22%
2:0 K. Uchida57%

First set

Chun-Chien Hou27%
Kaichi Uchida73%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no69%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.578%22%79%
18.569%31%71%
19.560%40%62%
20.551%49%54%
21.545%55%49%
22.539%61%42%
23.533%67%37%

Sample: 3,239 matches

Games handicap

K. Uchida −4.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Chun-Chien HouKaichi Uchida
9Aces14
1Double faults2
54%First serves in58%
76%First-serve points won91%
50%Second-serve points won41%
1/1Break points converted1/11
11/12Service games held11/12
64%Service points won70%
30%Return points won36%
97Total points won97

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C.-C. HouTourK. Uchida
Service points won—62%63%
Return points won—38%35%
Service games held—76%77%
Breaks of serve—24%18%
Aces per service game—0.57
Double faults per game—0.24
Sets with a tie-break—14%
Tie-breaks won—8/15
Wins in straight sets—67%
Matches in the sample—47

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Chun-Chien Hou

Kaichi Uchida

Elo over the last year

Chun-Chien HouKaichi Uchida

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C.-C. HouK. Uchida
Hard court1–0100%18–2542%
Clay0–00–20%
Grass0–00–30%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Chun-Chien Hou

Kaichi Uchida