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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Uchida vs Mayot 0:2: result and our tips

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Kaichi UchidaATP #420Elo 1451hard 1456
0:2final2:6 3:6
Harold MayotATP #233Elo 1815hard 1815

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Mayot 2-0Won73%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Uchida lost 0-2 in 14 of the last 20 matches, Mayot won 2-0 in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Won71%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 74% → with the players' profiles 71%

    Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Uchida 17 of 20, Mayot 13 of 20 (tour average 58%)

  • Tie-break in Match: NoWon74%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 79% → with the players' profiles 74%

    No tie-break in recent matches: Uchida 17 of 20, Mayot 16 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kaichi Uchida9%
Harold Mayot91%

Elo: K. Uchida 11% · H. Mayot 89%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Uchida6%
2:1 K. Uchida4%
2:1 H. Mayot17%
2:0 H. Mayot73%

First set

Kaichi Uchida18%
Harold Mayot82%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes22%
no78%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 59%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.579%21%88%
17.569%31%80%
18.559%42%71%
19.549%51%63%
20.541%59%54%
21.535%65%49%
22.529%71%42%

Sample: 1,503 matches

Games handicap

H. Mayot −5.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Kaichi UchidaHarold Mayot
3Aces5
7Double faults1
56%First serves in83%
60%First-serve points won77%
32%Second-serve points won57%
1/2Break points converted5/9
4/9Service games held7/8
48%Service points won73%
27%Return points won52%
41Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. UchidaTourH. Mayot
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won34%38%39%
Service games held77%76%77%
Breaks of serve18%24%25%
Aces per service game0.580.41
Double faults per game0.230.19
Sets with a tie-break14%12%
Tie-breaks won8/157/13
Wins in straight sets71%58%
Matches in the sample4545

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kaichi Uchida

Harold Mayot

Elo over the last year

Kaichi UchidaHarold Mayot

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. UchidaH. Mayot
Hard court17–2441%23–1168%
Clay0–20%2–625%
Grass0–30%1–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Kaichi Uchida

Harold Mayot