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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Milic vs Uchida 0:2: result and our tips

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Ognjen MilicATP #362Elo 1524hard 1559
0:2final6:7(4) 2:6
Kaichi UchidaATP #420Elo 1432hard 1435

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoLost63%

Where the number comes from: market alone 66% → with the players' profiles 63%

No tie-break in recent matches: Milic 14 of 20, Uchida 18 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: MilicLost68%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 68%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Uchida lost 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Set Betting: Milic 2-0Lost45%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Milic won 2-0 in 4 of the last 20 matches, Uchida lost 0-2 in 15 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ognjen Milic68%
Kaichi Uchida32%

Elo: O. Milic 67% · K. Uchida 33%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 O. Milic45%
2:1 O. Milic22%
2:1 K. Uchida14%
2:0 K. Uchida19%

First set

Ognjen Milic63%
Kaichi Uchida37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 48%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.548%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.538%62%35%
25.535%65%32%

Sample: 5,153 matches

Games handicap

O. Milic −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes37%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Ognjen MilicKaichi Uchida
8Aces10
2Double faults2
54%First serves in58%
82%First-serve points won83%
46%Second-serve points won53%
0/7Break points converted2/7
8/10Service games held10/10
66%Service points won71%
29%Return points won34%
61Total points won72

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

O. MilicTourK. Uchida
Service points won60%62%63%
Return points won38%38%34%
Service games held73%76%77%
Breaks of serve27%24%18%
Aces per service game0.430.57
Double faults per game0.320.23
Sets with a tie-break13%14%
Tie-breaks won3/97/14
Wins in straight sets43%69%
Matches in the sample2944

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ognjen Milic

Kaichi Uchida

Elo over the last year

Ognjen MilicKaichi Uchida

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

O. MilicK. Uchida
Hard court8–657%16–2440%
Clay6–940%0–20%
Grass0–00–30%

Head to head

They have not met yet.