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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Zhang vs Mayot 0:2: result and our tips

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Tianhui ZhangATP #787Elo 1424hard 1412
0:2final3:6 4:6
Harold MayotATP #233Elo 1812hard 1813

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tianhui Zhang5%
Harold Mayot95%

Elo: T. Zhang 9% · H. Mayot 91%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Zhang4%
2:1 T. Zhang3%
2:1 H. Mayot14%
2:0 H. Mayot80%

First set

Tianhui Zhang13%
Harold Mayot87%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes17%
no84%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 55%market (no margin): 50%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.587%13%97%
15.577%23%94%
16.566%34%88%
17.555%45%80%
18.545%55%71%
19.536%64%63%
20.529%71%55%

Sample: 1,141 matches

Games handicap

H. Mayot −6.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes17%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 18.5out · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Tianhui ZhangHarold Mayot
3Aces4
1Double faults0
72%First serves in79%
66%First-serve points won76%
40%Second-serve points won64%
1/1Break points converted3/5
6/9Service games held9/10
59%Service points won73%
27%Return points won42%
45Total points won60

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. ZhangTourH. Mayot
Service points won59%62%63%
Return points won34%38%38%
Service games held70%76%77%
Breaks of serve19%24%25%
Aces per service game0.300.41
Double faults per game0.250.20
Sets with a tie-break33%12%
Tie-breaks won0/27/13
Wins in straight sets—56%
Matches in the sample344

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tianhui Zhang

  • 05/10/26LKyrian Jacquet#79ATP Shanghai · Q12:6 6:7
  • 01/09/26LChun Hsin Tseng#216Challenger Zhangjiagang · R324:6 0:6
  • 04/05/26LMikhail Kukushkin#341Challenger Wuxi · R326:7 3:6
  • 13/10/25LPavel Kotov#169Challenger Shenzhen · R324:6 4:6
  • 23/09/25LBernard Tomic#179Challenger Jingshan · R324:6 1:6
  • 09/09/25LPetr Bar Biryukov#331Challenger Guangzhou 2 · R325:7 1:6
  • 08/09/25WWishaya Trongcharoenchaikul#970Challenger Guangzhou 2 · Q27:6 7:5
  • 07/09/25WHao DuanChallenger Guangzhou 2 · Q16:3 6:4
  • 31/08/25LSergey Fomin#291Challenger Shanghai · Q12:6 0:6

Harold Mayot

Elo over the last year

Tianhui ZhangHarold Mayot

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. ZhangH. Mayot
Hard court0–30%22–1167%
Clay0–02–625%
Grass0–01–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.