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Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Ayeni vs Uchida 0:1: result and our tips

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Alafia AyeniATP #434Elo 1471hard 1485
0:1retired1:6 0:4
Kaichi UchidaATP #401Elo 1448hard 1453

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 25.562%

Where the number comes from: market alone 64% → with the players' profiles 62%

Under 25.5 games in recent matches: Ayeni 17 of 20, Uchida 17 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.562%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Ayeni 16 of 20, Uchida 17 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 21.544%

Where the number comes from: market alone 46% → with the players' profiles 44%

Under 21.5 games in recent matches: Ayeni 14 of 20, Uchida 15 of 20 (tour average 51%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alafia Ayeni51%
Kaichi Uchida49%

Elo: A. Ayeni 55% · K. Uchida 45%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Ayeni32%
2:1 A. Ayeni20%
2:1 K. Uchida19%
2:0 K. Uchida30%

First set

Alafia Ayeni51%
Kaichi Uchida49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.538%62%32%

Sample: 5,293 matches

Games handicap

A. Ayeni −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Match stats

Alafia AyeniKaichi Uchida
3Aces1
5Double faults0
44%First serves in59%
63%First-serve points won88%
17%Second-serve points won64%
0/0Break points converted5/12
1/6Service games held5/5
37%Service points won78%
22%Return points won63%
22Total points won48

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. AyeniTourK. Uchida
Service points won62%62%63%
Return points won39%38%34%
Service games held76%76%77%
Breaks of serve24%24%18%
Aces per service game0.630.58
Double faults per game0.510.24
Sets with a tie-break15%14%
Tie-breaks won11/178/15
Wins in straight sets62%71%
Matches in the sample4946

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alafia Ayeni

  • 25/10/26LUisung Park#754Challenger Seoul · Q16:7 6:4 4:6
  • 28/09/26LKaylan Bigun#523Challenger Columbus · Q23:6 2:6
  • 28/09/26WMichael Bassem Sobhy#647Challenger Columbus · Q16:3 6:0
  • 21/09/26LEvan Zhu#467Challenger San Diego 2 · Q22:6 4:6
  • 20/09/26WLi Tu#506Challenger San Diego 2 · Q16:3 7:6
  • 09/09/26LFrancesco Maestrelli#176Challenger Istanbul 3 · R167:6 1:6 4:6
  • 07/09/26WCarl Emil Overbeck#301Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:2 7:5
  • 01/09/26LDimitar Kuzmanov#363Challenger Porto · R322:6 6:1 3:6
  • 31/08/26LTiago Cacao#654Challenger Porto · Q26:7 1:6
  • 30/08/26WAdrien BurdetChallenger Porto · Q16:1 6:3

Kaichi Uchida

  • 28/10/26LHarold Mayot#220Challenger Ningbo · R162:6 3:6
  • 26/10/26WOgnjen Milic#377Challenger Ningbo · R327:6 6:2
  • 20/10/26LZhizhen Zhang#162Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:7 3:6
  • 12/10/26LIlya Ivashka#223Challenger Jinan · Q22:6 4:6
  • 11/10/26WJesse DelaneyChallenger Jinan · Q16:2 7:5
  • 08/10/26LRyan Seggerman#563Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:4 5:7 4:6
  • 06/10/26WMasamichi Imamura#437Challenger Wuning 3 · R327:6 6:2
  • 22/09/26LFederico Cina#136ATP Chengdu · Q11:6 2:6
  • 14/09/26LRio Noguchi#219Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:3 2:6 3:6
  • 07/09/26LLinang XiaoChallenger Shanghai · R323:6 5:7

Elo over the last year

Alafia AyeniKaichi Uchida

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. AyeniK. Uchida
Hard court17–1553%17–2540%
Clay9–853%0–20%
Grass0–00–30%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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