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Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Matsuda vs Dev: prediction and tips

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Koki MatsudaATP #457Elo 1525hard 1522
-:-
S D Prajwal DevATP #678Elo 1362hard 1371

Our tips

Tip in 5h 55m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Koki Matsuda71%
S D Prajwal Dev29%

Elo: K. Matsuda 71% · S. Dev 30%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Matsuda48%
2:1 K. Matsuda22%
2:1 S. Dev13%
2:0 S. Dev17%

First set

Koki Matsuda65%
S D Prajwal Dev35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.564%37%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.550%50%49%
22.544%56%42%
23.538%62%37%
24.536%64%35%

Sample: 4,720 matches

Games handicap

K. Matsuda −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. MatsudaTourS. Dev
Service points won62%62%58%
Return points won36%38%39%
Service games held77%76%68%
Breaks of serve18%24%26%
Aces per service game0.510.28
Double faults per game0.190.32
Sets with a tie-break20%10%
Tie-breaks won13/182/6
Wins in straight sets58%89%
Matches in the sample3628

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Koki Matsuda

  • 08/11/26WYuki Mochizuki#834Challenger Matsuyama · Q16:2 5:7 6:4
  • 01/11/26LKasidit Samrej#409Challenger Taipei · Q13:6 6:7
  • 27/10/26LTerence Atmane#73Challenger Seoul · R326:4 1:6 2:6
  • 26/10/26LBeibit Zhukayev#522Challenger Seoul · Q24:6 6:7
  • 25/10/26WGeun Jun Kim#920Challenger Seoul · Q17:6 6:4
  • 20/10/26LYi Zhou#281Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R321:6 3:6
  • 19/10/26WOmar Jasika#329Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:4 7:6
  • 18/10/26WMillen Hurrion#503Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:3 4:6 7:6
  • 06/10/26LEvan Zhu#467Challenger Wuning 3 · R323:6 3:6
  • 28/09/26LKeisuke Saitoh#483Challenger Jingshan · Q13:6 2:6

S D Prajwal Dev

  • 08/11/26WNitin Kumar Sinha#871Challenger Matsuyama · Q16:1 6:2
  • 14/09/26LHunter Heck#602Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q23:6 2:6
  • 13/09/26WThanh-Trung HoangChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:4 6:4
  • 06/09/26LBenjamin O'Connell#955Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q16:4 5:7 2:6
  • 31/08/26LHiroki Moriya#455Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q21:6 1:6
  • 30/08/26WHanlei LuChallenger Zhangjiagang · Q16:2 6:1
  • 03/08/26LAmit Vales#476Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Q26:4 5:7 2:6
  • 02/08/26WAlex de DegabrieleChallenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Q16:2 7:6
  • 26/07/26LWilliam Rejchtman Vinciguerra#759Challenger Liberec · Q13:6 2:6
  • 19/07/26LMassimo Giunta#368Challenger Segovia · Q14:6 6:7

Elo over the last year

Koki MatsudaS D Prajwal Dev

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. MatsudaS. Dev
Hard court19–1851%6–1332%
Clay0–03–633%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Koki Matsuda

S D Prajwal Dev

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