Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying
Staeheli vs Kumasaka: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 6h 54mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Luca Staeheli49%
Takuya Kumasaka51%
Elo: L. Staeheli 70% · T. Kumasaka 30%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Staeheli30%
2:1 L. Staeheli19%
2:1 T. Kumasaka20%
2:0 T. Kumasaka32%
First set
Luca Staeheli49%
Takuya Kumasaka51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
Expected total: 22.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 71% | 29% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 63% | 37% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 44% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 50% | 50% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 5,376 matches
Games handicap
T. Kumasaka −0.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes29%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Staeheli | Tour | T. Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 42% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 69% |
| Breaks of serve | 33% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.36 | 0.27 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.32 | 0.22 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 0/7 | 5/8 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 83% | |
| Matches in the sample | 30 | 27 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Luca Staeheli
- 08/11/26WSaki TangeChallenger Matsuyama · Q16:4 6:3
- 01/11/26LMasamichi Imamura#437Challenger Taipei · Q12:6 3:6
- 30/09/26LAndres Andrade#229Challenger Columbus · R163:6 6:7
- 29/09/26WOliver Okonkwo#964Challenger Columbus · R326:7 6:4 6:1
- 28/09/26WAlex Rybakov#641Challenger Columbus · Q24:6 6:3 6:3
- 27/09/26WBruno Kuzuhara#720Challenger Columbus · Q16:3 6:2
- 20/09/26LErik Arutiunian#575Challenger San Diego 2 · Q14:6 4:6
- 15/09/26LSebastian Gorzny#403Challenger Tiburon · R325:7 2:6
- 14/09/26WRoger Pascual Ferra#690Challenger Tiburon · Q24:6 6:2 6:3
- 13/09/26WMaxwell Exsted#892Challenger Tiburon · Q14:6 6:4 6:3
Takuya Kumasaka
- 08/11/26WYuta Tomida#781Challenger Matsuyama · Q16:3 6:3
- 06/09/26LMartin Borisiouk#726Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q14:6 2:6
- 30/08/26LJoshua Charlton#851Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q13:6 4:6
- 12/08/26LHayato Matsuoka#247Challenger Astana · R164:6 1:6
- 11/08/26WColin Sinclair#485Challenger Astana · R326:2 7:6
- 04/08/26LAlexander Donski#519Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R325:7 4:6
- 28/07/26LFlorent Bax#292Challenger Samsun · R326:7 3:6
- 21/07/26LLuka Pavlovic#203Challenger Segovia · R326:3 1:6 2:6
- 20/07/26WSergio Callejon Hernando#494Challenger Segovia · Q26:3 7:6
- 19/07/26WAsier Meneses PernyChallenger Segovia · Q16:2 6:4
Elo over the last year
Luca StaeheliTakuya Kumasaka
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Staeheli | T. Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 6–555% | 12–1643% |
| Clay | 12–763% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Luca Staeheli
- 08/11/26WSaki TangeChallenger Matsuyama · Q16:4 6:3
Takuya Kumasaka
- 08/11/26WYuta Tomida#781Challenger Matsuyama · Q16:3 6:3
Upcoming matches
- Masamichi Imamura vs Ryuki Matsuda, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Koki Matsuda vs S D Prajwal Dev, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Kosuke Ogura vs Hikaru Shiraishi, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Marcel Latak vs Clement Chidekh, · Challenger Knoxville
- Aidan Mayo vs Michael Mmoh, · Challenger Knoxville
- Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy, · Challenger Knoxville