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Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Staeheli vs Tange: prediction and tips

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Luca StaeheliATP #449Elo 1599hard 1565
-:-
Saki TangeElo 1447hard 1446

Our tips

Tip in 8h 12m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Luca Staeheli83%
Saki Tange17%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Staeheli63%
2:1 L. Staeheli21%
2:1 S. Tange8%
2:0 S. Tange9%

First set

Luca Staeheli76%
Saki Tange24%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no72%

Total games

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%79%
18.565%35%71%
19.556%44%62%
20.547%53%54%
21.542%58%49%
22.535%65%42%
23.530%70%37%

Sample: 2,538 matches

Games handicap

L. Staeheli −4.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. StaeheliTourS. Tange
Service points won60%62%—
Return points won41%38%—
Service games held75%76%—
Breaks of serve32%24%—
Aces per service game0.36—
Double faults per game0.33—
Sets with a tie-break11%—
Tie-breaks won0/7—
Wins in straight sets53%—
Matches in the sample29—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Luca Staeheli

  • 01/11/26LMasamichi Imamura#437Challenger Taipei · Q12:6 3:6
  • 30/09/26LAndres Andrade#229Challenger Columbus · R163:6 6:7
  • 29/09/26WOliver Okonkwo#964Challenger Columbus · R326:7 6:4 6:1
  • 28/09/26WAlex Rybakov#641Challenger Columbus · Q24:6 6:3 6:3
  • 27/09/26WBruno Kuzuhara#720Challenger Columbus · Q16:3 6:2
  • 20/09/26LErik Arutiunian#575Challenger San Diego 2 · Q14:6 4:6
  • 15/09/26LSebastian Gorzny#403Challenger Tiburon · R325:7 2:6
  • 14/09/26WRoger Pascual Ferra#690Challenger Tiburon · Q24:6 6:2 6:3
  • 13/09/26WMaxwell Exsted#892Challenger Tiburon · Q14:6 6:4 6:3
  • 19/08/26LJuan Manuel La Serna#254Challenger Sion · R163:6 1:1

Saki Tange

  • 03/11/25LRyuki Matsuda#646Challenger Matsuyama · Q22:6 3:6
  • 02/11/25WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Matsuyama · Q16:0 6:3

Elo over the last year

Luca StaeheliSaki Tange

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. StaeheliS. Tange
Hard court5–550%0–0
Clay12–763%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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