Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying
Ogura vs Shiraishi: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 5h 54mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Kosuke Ogura25%
Hikaru Shiraishi75%
Elo: K. Ogura 53% · H. Shiraishi 47%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 K. Ogura14%
2:1 K. Ogura11%
2:1 H. Shiraishi22%
2:0 H. Shiraishi53%
First set
Kosuke Ogura31%
Hikaru Shiraishi69%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%
Total games
Expected total: 22.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 73% | 27% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 65% | 35% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 56% | 44% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 50% | 51% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 34% | 66% | 35% |
Sample: 3,911 matches
Games handicap
H. Shiraishi −4.545%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes34%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Ogura | Tour | H. Shiraishi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.35 | 0.24 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 23% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/6 | 1/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 38% | |
| Matches in the sample | 12 | 20 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Kosuke Ogura
- 08/11/26WBenjamin Hassan#459Challenger Matsuyama · Q16:1 6:3
- 04/10/26LYuta Kikuchi#894Challenger Wuning 3 · Q16:7 3:6
- 14/09/26LAlexander Binda#460Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q24:6 6:4 4:6
- 13/09/26WDaisuke SumizawaChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q17:6 7:6
- 16/02/26LBen Jones#830Challenger Metepec · Q21:6 3:6
- 15/02/26WAlex KobeltChallenger Metepec · Q17:5 6:2
- 06/01/26LChristian Langmo#508Challenger Noumea · R324:6 4:6
- 05/01/26WEthan CookChallenger Noumea · Q17:6 7:6
- 04/01/26WJesse DelaneyChallenger Noumea · Q16:0 6:4
- 16/11/25LEmile Hudd#466Challenger Sydney · Q14:6 6:4 6:7
Hikaru Shiraishi
- 08/11/26WRiku TakahataChallenger Matsuyama · Q16:1 6:4
- 06/10/26LRyan Seggerman#563Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:7 7:6 6:7
- 28/09/26LAdam Walton#98Challenger Jingshan · Q12:6 2:6
- 15/09/26LJake Delaney#350Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:4 3:6 4:6
- 13/04/26LRenta Tokuda#909Challenger Busan · Q22:6 3:6
- 12/04/26WDong Ju Kim#746Challenger Busan · Q17:5 6:3
- 09/02/26LOmar Jasika#329Challenger Brisbane 2 · R326:4 2:6 6:7
- 03/02/26LBlake Ellis#412Challenger Brisbane · R326:7 6:7
- 18/01/26LTim Handel#730Challenger Phan Thiet · Q16:3 3:6 4:6
- 12/01/26LNeil Oberleitner#853Challenger Nonthaburi 2 · Q26:7 7:5 3:6
Elo over the last year
Kosuke OguraHikaru Shiraishi
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Ogura | H. Shiraishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 6–650% | 8–1240% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Kosuke Ogura
- 08/11/26WBenjamin Hassan#459Challenger Matsuyama · Q16:1 6:3
Hikaru Shiraishi
- 08/11/26WRiku TakahataChallenger Matsuyama · Q16:1 6:4
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