Challenger KnoxvilleChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Galarneau vs Kozlov: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 19h 54mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Alexis Galarneau39%
Stefan Kozlov61%
Elo: A. Galarneau 54% · S. Kozlov 46%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Galarneau23%
2:1 A. Galarneau16%
2:1 S. Kozlov21%
2:0 S. Kozlov39%
First set
Alexis Galarneau42%
Stefan Kozlov58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 23.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 73% | 27% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 65% | 35% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 52% | 48% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 45% | 55% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 6,078 matches
Games handicap
S. Kozlov −2.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes31%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Galarneau | Tour | S. Kozlov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 32% |
| Aces per service game | 0.32 | 0.25 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.34 | 0.30 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 16/28 | 6/15 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 54% | |
| Matches in the sample | 68 | 61 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alexis Galarneau
- 03/11/26LDaniel Milavsky#307Challenger Charlottesville · R326:7 3:6
- 27/10/26LMees Rottgering#295Challenger Sioux Falls · R323:6 4:6
- 05/10/26LRoman Safiullin#71ATP Shanghai · Q13:6 0:6
- 30/09/26LLloyd Harris#103Challenger Jingshan · R322:6 3:6
- 23/09/26LLloyd Harris#103ATP Chengdu · Q23:6 5:7
- 22/09/26WElias Ymer#245ATP Chengdu · Q17:5 7:6
- 15/09/26LFajing Sun#287Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R325:7 6:3 5:7
- 11/09/26LPavel Kotov#170Challenger Shanghai · QF6:3 1:6 1:6
- 09/09/26WLinang XiaoChallenger Shanghai · R166:3 6:4
- 07/09/26WSemen Pankin#424Challenger Shanghai · R327:6 6:4
Stefan Kozlov
- 07/11/26WClement Chidekh#131Challenger Charlottesville · SF6:2 1:6 6:4
- 06/11/26WBraden Shick#205Challenger Charlottesville · QF6:4 6:1
- 04/11/26WMurphy Cassone#283Challenger Charlottesville · R166:2 6:2
- 03/11/26WAndres Martin#359Challenger Charlottesville · R326:4 6:0
- 29/10/26LMax Hans Rehberg#248Challenger Sioux Falls · R165:7 4:6
- 27/10/26WMurphy Cassone#283Challenger Sioux Falls · R324:6 6:3 3:0
- 01/10/26LMitchell Krueger#361Challenger Columbus · R162:6 6:3 3:6
- 29/09/26WJames Kent Trotter#542Challenger Columbus · R326:3 6:2
- 22/09/26LColton Smith#218Challenger San Diego 2 · R324:6 2:6
- 15/09/26LDarwin Blanch#139Challenger Tiburon · R323:6 6:2 6:7
Elo over the last year
Alexis GalarneauStefan Kozlov
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Galarneau | S. Kozlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 24–2351% | 25–1957% |
| Clay | 5–363% | 7–654% |
| Grass | 8–562% | 3–175% |
Head to head
A. Galarneau 1–1 S. Kozlov
- 20/01/26Winner: S. Kozlov6:7 6:2 1:6
- 06/10/22Winner: A. Galarneau6:1 7:5
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